NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	5.0 [841]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +15.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	1.1 [369]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.03	0.06	22	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	11	77%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	13	47%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	21	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	11	73%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	0.06	23	50%	0.03	7	-0.18	12	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.0	31.0	19.4	26.5	3.5	50.2	159.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +20.8%

OKC -10.3%

MEM +12.0%

MEM +24.5%

MEM +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.5	15.5	122.6	108.6	105.7
season	15.5	15.0		106.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.0	18.2	18.0	16.5
OKC	15.1	15.0	17.0	11.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	47	47	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.02	16	-3	19	16.5	16.5	0.01	13.7	15.2	-1.49
Shane Battier	58	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	1	11	16.0	17.3	-1.38	13.1	16.6	-3.46
Zach Randolph	74	72	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	4	5	17.0	14.6	2.39	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Marc Gasol	67	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	0	13	16.3	17.1	-0.82	14.9	13.2	1.66
Mike Conley	76	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	9	-5	16.9	14.5	2.39	14.4	14.9	-0.52
Darrell Arthur	37	39	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	6	1	15.5	17.1	-1.61	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Greivis Vasquez	17	19	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	4	5	14.5	16.9	-2.39	14.9	14.4	0.52
Sam Young	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	11	-9	16.8	16.2	0.55	15.8	13.2	2.57
Tony Allen	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	20	-27	17.2	15.8	1.39	15.3	13.7	1.61

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daequan Cook	20	21	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.1	14.9	-1.76	17.0	16.3	0.73
Nazr Mohammed	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-10	7	13.4	14.7	-1.31	14.2	17.0	-2.77
Eric Maynor	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-6	-1	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Thabo Sefolosha	43	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-10	7	16.6	12.7	3.90	17.1	15.9	1.17
Kendrick Perkins	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-5	-3	15.3	13.4	1.85	17.0	15.8	1.17
James Harden	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	12.5	16.9	-4.37	15.7	17.4	-1.65
Russell Westbrook	72	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-7	1	14.6	14.1	0.50	16.8	15.2	1.57
Serge Ibaka	74	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-1	-11	14.5	14.5	-0.05	16.4	16.8	-0.36
Nick Collison	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	15.6	14.0	1.61	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Kevin Durant	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-3	-7	14.3	16.5	-2.21	16.7	14.2	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 101, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	94.4%
PHI 114, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CHI 100, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%