NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	5.4 [738]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): +13.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.1 [1234]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -14.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.02	14	64%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	19	60%	0.13	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Patrick Beverley	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	21	48%	0.09	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	15	61%	0.14	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.04	13	69%	0.13	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miroslav Raduljica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	0.03	20	56%	-0.00	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	8	11%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	8	6%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	29.5	15.5	23.6	2.7	32.2	129.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.0%

MIL -4.5%

MIL -13.9%

HOU +17.9%

HOU +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIL	NBA	HOU	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	15.1	104.1	97.9	105.2
season	14.3	15.7		109.5	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.2	13.6	14.4	14.5	13.9
MIL	16.3	15.8	15.6	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	51	49	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-6	18	13.6	14.3	-0.74	16.0	15.5	0.50
Jeremy Lin	57	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-3	12	13.7	14.2	-0.57	14.8	17.1	-2.34
James Harden	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	13.6	15.2	-1.60	15.4	17.5	-2.13
Omri Casspi	26	25	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	-2	10	14.2	13.8	0.32	16.4	15.6	0.79
Omer Asik	23	23	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.01	9	-3	12	12.5	14.4	-1.89	16.1	15.7	0.47
Dwight Howard	74	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	9	-12	14.4	12.5	1.89	15.7	16.1	-0.47
Chandler Parsons	71	72	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.30	-2	8	-10	13.8	14.2	-0.32	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Patrick Beverley	59	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	3	0	14.1	13.7	0.34	16.8	14.1	2.74
Terrence Jones	44	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	15	-24	15.0	13.1	1.90	16.0	15.6	0.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Sanders	9	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-1	-4	16.3	15.7	0.62	13.2	14.0	-0.80
Gary Neal	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	0	-6	17.7	15.1	2.57	14.4	13.8	0.61
Zaza Pachulia	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.4	16.3	-0.85	14.3	13.3	0.95
Khris Middleton	73	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-5	4	15.3	17.1	-1.74	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Miroslav Raduljica	35	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-1	-4	17.5	14.8	2.72	14.2	13.7	0.44
Brandon Knight	73	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.2	17.5	-2.35	13.8	14.2	-0.43
John Henson	83	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-7	8	15.5	17.2	-1.68	13.9	14.3	-0.43
Nate Wolters	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	15.8	15.4	0.40	13.8	14.3	-0.43
Giannis Antetokounmpo	49	50	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	4	-14	15.7	15.9	-0.20	13.9	13.9	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 114, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	94.4%
MIA 106, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	94.2%
WAS 97, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0	94.1%