inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 97 Excitement5.7 [671] MVPMitch Richmond (WAS): +12.8%
Detroit Pistons 83 Comeback1.2 [398] LVPJerry Stackhouse (DET): -17.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.130.150.020.042462%0.1300.005100%0.02
Tracy Murray0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00960%0.072-0.042100%0.03
Gerard King0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ike Austin0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01458%0.031-0.02475%0.00
Laron Profit-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Smith-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01743%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Aaron Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01650%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Jahidi White-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.00450%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.070,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.012040%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Chris Whitney-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.02744%-0.013-0.064100%0.01
Reggie Jordan-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00557%0.0100.00450%-0.02
Don Reid00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Mills0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01928%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.110.01-0.021137%-0.032-0.05580%0.03
Jerome Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.03330%-0.053-0.05425%-0.04
Grant Hill0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.080.012247%-0.091-0.04978%-0.01
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.12-0.050.001043%-0.093-0.08875%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.050.021454%-0.026-0.15989%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.92.529.516.531.22.731.5135.7
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +38.2%
DET -7.5%
WAS +14.9%
WAS +10.6%
DET -6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDETNBAWASDETNBA
this game17.013.515.2103.287.4101.7
season15.514.1101.1104.2
opponent15.314.8103.0104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS17.115.714.721.617.0
DET12.914.312.514.413.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitch Richmond80830.52-0.020.550.0317-32017.017.1-0.1312.719.1-6.43
Chris Whitney52540.440.060.38-0.0316-21816.917.2-0.2413.713.10.60
Michael Smith79790.410.090.330.09113817.116.70.4312.717.4-4.70
Ike Austin35370.410.090.330.061221014.818.4-3.6014.912.52.43
Juwan Howard63640.270.230.05-0.111311218.314.53.8513.114.3-1.18
Tracy Murray41410.240.26-0.010.16311-815.917.9-2.0013.613.40.21
Aaron Williams23260.140.36-0.22-0.0368-220.316.04.2715.112.92.22
Rod Strickland37370.090.41-0.330.03212-1016.717.3-0.5912.214.3-2.04
Jahidi White34330.030.47-0.440.03014-1415.817.7-1.9411.814.3-2.47
Gerard King75-0.020.52-0.540.07-317-2018.116.91.2021.213.08.17
Reggie Jordan1412-0.020.52-0.550.06-317-2017.117.00.1319.112.76.43
Laron Profit54-0.030.53-0.550.09-418-2220.816.83.9821.513.18.39

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Crotty910-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-141414.613.31.2117.017.0-0.04
Don Reid99-0.06-0.440.37-0.01-2-121018.612.95.6316.217.1-0.90
Terry Mills5254-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-151613.113.9-0.8116.517.8-1.29
Lindsey Hunter7979-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-7013.513.5-0.0417.415.32.10
Jerry Stackhouse7676-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.17-7-7013.613.00.5816.718.2-1.47
Grant Hill7876-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-2-1013.015.8-2.8017.515.12.44
Christian Laettner6461-0.40-0.10-0.300.07-162-1812.814.8-1.9917.616.01.59
Michael Curry4341-0.45-0.05-0.410.02-162-1814.013.10.9016.017.8-1.74
Jerome Williams6564-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.15-11-3-813.713.00.7317.116.90.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 101, DET 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.05,094.9%
ATL 73, MIL 650.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,094.9%
SAS 115, BOS 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%