NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	5.4 [769]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): +22.6%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.1 [1193]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): -9.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.01	13	69%	0.28	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	17	60%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	73%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
CJ Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	39%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	62%	0.05	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.01	0.04	14	75%	0.23	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	0.02	9	63%	0.08	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	16	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	29.5	36.0	31.0	1.8	39.2	164.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +26.2%

CHI +8.7%

DET -3.1%

CHI +15.1%

CHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.5	108.6	103.2	105.7
season	15.7	16.7		106.5	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.9		110.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.0	16.7	18.0	16.7	16.1
DET	18.3	12.8	16.3	12.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	84	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	15.8	18.0	-2.15	15.1	13.6	1.47
Kurt Thomas	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	2	1	15.4	18.2	-2.79	15.3	13.8	1.44
Derrick Rose	73	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	15.6	17.6	-1.97	15.3	13.7	1.55
Taj Gibson	27	28	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	15.7	16.2	-0.49	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Keith Bogans	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	16.8	15.5	1.36	17.5	13.1	4.43
CJ Watson	23	24	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	15.7	16.2	-0.53	12.5	15.8	-3.25
Kyle Korver	21	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	2	1	18.3	15.4	2.88	13.8	15.3	-1.46
Carlos Boozer	66	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.43	-9	14	-23	17.1	13.4	3.68	16.1	12.1	3.96
Omer Asik	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	1	3	17.4	15.7	1.72	13.6	15.2	-1.61
Ronnie Brewer	42	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	14.6	17.2	-2.62	12.7	16.6	-3.84

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-3	1	13.4	15.2	-1.83	16.8	15.9	0.83
Jason Maxiell	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	14.3	15.1	-0.81	17.4	15.6	1.78
Ben Gordon	31	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	0	-5	14.1	15.3	-1.27	17.1	15.6	1.53
Rodney Stuckey	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-3	1	13.8	16.3	-2.55	15.9	16.2	-0.25
Chris Wilcox	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	1	-7	17.1	13.2	3.91	16.1	16.0	0.03
Austin Daye	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-6	7	13.1	16.9	-3.74	15.9	16.2	-0.24
Richard Hamilton	62	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-5	5	15.3	14.1	1.27	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Greg Monroe	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.6	17.4	-1.78
Tayshaun Prince	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.7	17.2	-1.54
Will Bynum	51	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	16.2	13.4	2.80	16.6	15.4	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, DET 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.01,0,0	94.9%
MIL 116, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 115, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%