NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	116		Excitement	4.5 [905]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (MIL): +20.2%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.4 [336]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -14.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.01	-0.01	10	83%	0.20	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	5	108%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Monroe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	8	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Thon Maker	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	14	86%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	14	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	16	70%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	75%	0.11	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	12	51%	0.05	2	-0.07	11	91%	0.04
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	0.05	11	52%	-0.05	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.0	28.0	14.8	26.5	1.8	34.2	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.9%

IND -3.5%

MIL +7.9%

MIL +10.8%

MIL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	14.8	127.5	112.4	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.4	107.5
opponent	14.8	15.3		108.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	16.7	16.1	16.1	15.9
IND	14.4	17.6	18.1	14.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	71	69	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.03	24	-8	32	15.0	19.3	-4.31	15.7	17.5	-1.85
Greg Monroe	51	49	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.04	21	-5	26	15.4	16.7	-1.32	16.4	15.7	0.71
Rashad Vaughn	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	2	12	15.4	16.6	-1.18	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Giannis Antetokounmpo	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	4	8	15.8	16.3	-0.53	15.3	18.0	-2.70
Mirza Teletovic	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	7	2	15.2	16.3	-1.09	16.5	15.8	0.68
Tony Snell	40	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	9	-2	16.4	15.6	0.79	17.8	14.8	2.98
Michael Beasley	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	12	-8	16.5	15.3	1.24	16.6	15.5	1.17
Matthew Dellavedova	59	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	22	-28	17.3	13.4	3.90	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Thon Maker	40	40	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	21	-26	16.7	15.4	1.32	15.7	16.4	-0.71

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	31	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-10	4	14.4	16.9	-2.53	14.1	16.8	-2.69
Lavoy Allen	33	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-12	8	16.8	15.6	1.19	16.9	15.3	1.59
Myles Turner	57	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.9	16.4	-0.53	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Jeff Teague	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	16.0	16.1	-0.05	16.0	15.8	0.20
Kevin Seraphin	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	-3	-10	16.1	16.1	-0.01	12.7	16.7	-3.97
CJ Miles	59	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-8	0	15.9	16.4	-0.55	16.5	14.8	1.67
Rodney Stuckey	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-6	-4	16.1	16.0	0.05	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Paul George	66	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-10	4	16.8	14.0	2.85	16.8	13.3	3.45
Al Jefferson	32	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	16.4	15.9	0.53	16.0	15.9	0.10
Monta Ellis	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-5	-6	15.9	16.4	-0.56	15.7	16.5	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
HOU 119, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
CHI 101, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.05,0	94.4%