NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	4.3 [941]		MVP	Sam Dekker (HOU): +21.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.5 [716]		LVP	Tony Allen (MEM): -11.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Dekker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.25	0.03	0.07	19	79%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.00	0.10	9	97%	0.22	6	-0.14	12	92%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	16	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nene	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	86%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.04	20	63%	0.14	5	-0.12	11	55%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	17	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.3	31.4	15.0	28.3	2.3	25.6	133.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.1%

HOU +2.1%

HOU +1.5%

MEM -1.5%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	12.3	17.0	14.8	119.0	97.9	107.7
season	13.7	16.1		113.2	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	10.7	11.9	13.3	13.6	12.3
MEM	15.6	17.6	18.0	17.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	61	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	1	22	12.2	12.4	-0.24	17.9	15.6	2.33
Corey Brewer	48	46	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.28	25	-1	26	12.2	12.4	-0.20	17.8	16.3	1.57
Nene	35	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.36	26	-2	28	10.5	13.3	-2.78	18.6	16.1	2.47
Trevor Ariza	76	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.31	24	0	24	11.8	13.7	-1.87	17.2	16.6	0.51
James Harden	72	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	3	18	11.9	13.4	-1.53	17.2	16.6	0.57
Sam Dekker	73	73	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	22	-20	12.7	11.1	1.61	16.4	18.9	-2.46
Patrick Beverley	64	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	23	-22	12.9	11.3	1.58	16.1	18.7	-2.59
Clint Capela	33	31	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	22	-20	12.6	12.1	0.47	17.0	17.0	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	28	-32	13.9	11.5	2.42	15.2	17.9	-2.64
KJ McDaniels	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	13.5	12.3	1.23	15.0	17.1	-2.06
Tyler Ennis	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	13.5	12.3	1.23	15.0	17.1	-2.06
Bobby Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	13.5	12.3	1.23	15.0	17.1	-2.06

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	16.0	17.1	-1.09	12.2	12.3	-0.13
Deyonta Davis	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-21	18	16.0	17.1	-1.09	12.2	12.3	-0.13
Chandler Parsons	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-22	20	15.2	18.6	-3.43	13.2	11.5	1.74
Tony Allen	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-20	16	16.8	17.3	-0.59	11.5	13.2	-1.76
Andrew Harrison	28	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-16	8	18.7	16.3	2.33	10.4	13.1	-2.76
Zach Randolph	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-15	6	18.1	16.0	2.06	12.0	12.6	-0.62
Mike Conley	69	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-13	2	16.6	18.1	-1.53	13.2	10.1	3.08
Marc Gasol	72	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-14	4	17.0	17.0	0.03	12.7	11.1	1.53
Vince Carter	39	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	-3	-18	18.7	15.9	2.80	11.6	12.7	-1.07
JaMychal Green	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.16	-21	-3	-18	16.1	18.8	-2.73	12.5	11.9	0.67
James Ennis III	55	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	4	-32	17.7	16.1	1.59	12.2	12.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 127, MIL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.2%
IND 112, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0	95.1%
SAS 115, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%