NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	4.8 [874]		MVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): +14.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.3 [523]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -9.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marquis Daniels	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.04	18	63%	0.19	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	53%	0.09	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Maceo Baston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	11	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	12	54%	0.05	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.03	19	59%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.02	0.09	23	68%	0.14	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	12	67%	0.08	7	-0.14	3	67%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	3	21%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	37%	-0.05
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.7	15.8	29.5	2.3	37.5	141.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.1%

MIN -2.3%

MIN -1.3%

IND +12.4%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIN	NBA	IND	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	15.5	107.7	100.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		106.5	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.1	14.5	14.4	14.4	13.5
MIN	13.3	17.4	15.0	11.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Diener	40	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.13	22	-15	37	12.7	14.0	-1.23	14.6	13.7	0.83
Marquis Daniels	90	91	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	0	7	13.6	12.9	0.64	14.0	14.3	-0.24
Brandon Rush	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.29	4	3	1	14.0	12.9	1.02	14.0	14.2	-0.16
Rasho Nesterovic	45	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	-10	27	13.2	13.7	-0.53	14.4	13.9	0.54
Maceo Baston	29	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-3	13	14.5	13.1	1.44	16.4	13.1	3.30
Jarrett Jack	83	83	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.45	-8	15	-23	13.8	12.2	1.56	13.5	16.3	-2.78
Troy Murphy	84	84	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	10	-13	13.3	14.3	-1.01	13.5	16.4	-2.88
Roy Hibbert	31	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	9	-11	12.7	13.8	-1.14	15.8	13.3	2.45
Josh McRoberts	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	7	-7	4.0	13.6	-9.57	11.0	14.1	-3.14
T.J. Ford	62	62	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.30	-12	19	-31	13.5	13.4	0.17	13.3	15.2	-1.96

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-7	7	14.3	14.0	0.37	13.1	13.6	-0.46
Brian Cardinal	35	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.42	11	-18	29	13.6	14.3	-0.71	16.0	12.1	3.85
Sebastian Telfair	69	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-14	21	13.2	15.7	-2.50	13.9	12.7	1.19
Ryan Gomes	79	79	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-14	21	13.3	16.3	-2.97	13.9	12.3	1.58
Mike Miller	88	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	14.3	13.1	1.14	13.6	13.1	0.43
Randy Foye	86	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.37	2	-9	11	13.3	17.5	-4.21	13.4	14.1	-0.70
Craig Smith	23	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	11	-29	15.7	13.6	2.07	11.9	13.9	-1.97
Rodney Carney	34	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	10	-27	14.6	13.8	0.80	12.1	14.1	-2.00
Kevin Love	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	8	-23	15.4	13.1	2.34	12.9	14.0	-1.13
Kevin Ollie	36	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	7	-21	15.7	13.2	2.50	12.7	13.9	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 111, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.24,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAL 100, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%