NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	4.1 [1006]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +9.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.2 [230]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -12.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.01	15	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.00	0.05	15	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.12	3	-0.02	12	92%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	38%	0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	10	46%	-0.00	5	-0.07	6	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	5	85%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	16	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	0.06	30	45%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	31.2	16.8	24.1	2.8	43.3	146.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.6%

DET +7.3%

LAL -2.7%

LAL -2.6%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.0	15.5	108.2	97.9	106.4
season	16.9	14.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		102.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	15.2	16.5	13.4	15.5
LAL	15.0	14.8	16.2	11.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-2	15	15.1	18.1	-2.96	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Rasheed Wallace	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	1	9	15.3	16.4	-1.07	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Kwame Brown	52	50	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	0	11	17.2	13.6	3.62	16.2	11.6	4.62
Arron Afflalo	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	3	5	14.2	17.6	-3.38	12.5	16.3	-3.82
Tayshaun Prince	77	76	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.26	0	11	-11	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.4	12.4	2.07
Richard Hamilton	71	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	13	-15	16.0	14.4	1.60	14.4	12.8	1.58
Rodney Stuckey	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	3	5	15.8	15.4	0.48	13.2	14.5	-1.25
Walter Herrmann	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	5	1	14.6	15.6	-1.07	9.6	14.5	-4.91
Jason Maxiell	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	10	-9	16.0	15.4	0.60	14.8	13.8	1.07

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-8	5	15.2	13.5	1.69	19.0	14.2	4.74
Derek Fisher	68	68	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-13	15	14.5	12.8	1.67	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Lamar Odom	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	2	-15	13.8	14.1	-0.26	15.7	15.4	0.22
Kobe Bryant	80	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-10	9	14.1	13.6	0.50	15.6	15.2	0.40
Jordan Farmar	29	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	2	-15	12.8	14.5	-1.67	15.8	15.4	0.39
Sasha Vujacic	39	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-6	1	11.0	16.0	-4.97	13.4	17.0	-3.52
Andrew Bynum	55	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	15.7	11.8	3.95	17.4	12.9	4.48
Pau Gasol	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	14.2	12.9	1.34	15.2	17.4	-2.20
Trevor Ariza	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	13.6	14.9	-1.35	14.0	18.6	-4.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 112, MIN 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0	95.5%
LAL 100, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 103, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.0%