NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	4.5 [874]		MVP	Antonio Davis (IND): +8.6%
Miami Heat	89		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): -16.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Duane Ferrell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	9	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	12	62%	0.09	6	-0.13	5	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Vincent Askew	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	39%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	78%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dan Majerle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	0.10	12	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	11	27%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	23	43%	-0.12	2	-0.04	12	58%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.8	24.5	15.3	27.0	1.8	35.4	132.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.0%

IND +8.8%

IND +0.7%

IND +5.8%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIA	NBA	IND	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.6	113.2	96.7	104.4
season	15.3	15.8		103.6	103.1
opponent	16.3	16.3		98.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	14.5	16.7	16.0	15.1
MIA	17.4	17.5	16.0	14.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	15.1	15.0	0.06	16.2	16.9	-0.72
Travis Best	66	67	0.42	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	5	4	15.1	15.0	0.05	16.8	15.3	1.47
Vincent Askew	42	44	0.37	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	14.5	15.5	-0.98	15.1	17.6	-2.54
Reggie Miller	71	69	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	7	0	14.7	16.2	-1.50	16.8	15.1	1.68
Dale Davis	48	49	0.24	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	3	8	15.0	15.2	-0.16	17.0	15.7	1.21
Erick Dampier	43	42	0.22	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	12	-10	16.0	14.3	1.66	17.0	15.9	1.03
Derrick McKey	47	46	0.21	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	8	-2	15.2	14.9	0.32	17.8	14.9	2.91
Eddie Johnson	17	19	0.20	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	6	2	15.1	15.1	-0.02	15.7	16.6	-0.82
Jerome Allen	24	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.02	1	13	-12	15.5	14.9	0.57	14.9	16.9	-2.02
Duane Ferrell	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	16	-18	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.4	17.0	-1.60
Fred Hoiberg	1	2	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	11	-8	24.0	15.0	9.02	7.0	16.6	-9.60

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	18	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-14	14	15.6	16.6	-1.04	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Keith Askins	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.03	-2	-12	10	19.4	16.2	3.18	12.0	15.3	-3.29
Ike Austin	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-11	8	17.9	16.1	1.80	13.2	15.5	-2.22
Kurt Thomas	11	9	-0.15	-0.36	0.20	0.05	-7	-7	0	16.3	16.4	-0.13	16.1	15.0	1.15
Voshon Lenard	48	47	-0.25	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-8	2	15.5	17.4	-1.86	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Dan Majerle	76	75	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-7	0	15.8	19.1	-3.23	14.9	15.7	-0.74
P.J. Brown	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	16.1	17.1	-0.95	15.7	13.2	2.48
Gary Grant	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-5	-4	17.0	14.6	2.37	15.4	14.0	1.34
Alonzo Mourning	89	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	16.5	14.3	2.13	15.0	20.5	-5.54
Sasha Danilovic	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	2	-18	17.0	15.3	1.65	15.5	14.2	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.2%
PHX 103, NOK 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%