NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	5.0 [855]		MVP	Mike James (HOU): +14.0%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.4 [431]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -21.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	9	91%	0.16	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
David Wesley	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	12	87%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	92%	0.11	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	23	48%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	13	38%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	18	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	24	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	9	48%	-0.04	1	-0.01	9	56%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.20	-0.04	-0.03	16	34%	-0.09	6	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.3	32.5	17.7	21.3	3.6	35.2	139.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.3%

HOU +12.3%

HOU +0.2%

HOU +0.4%

SAC -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.5	119.4	105.5	104.0
season	16.0	14.7		104.2	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.8		106.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	15.0	16.0	16.6	15.5
SAC	15.6	17.0	15.3	15.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	53	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	0	15	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Dikembe Mutombo	32	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	0	15	16.3	15.1	1.20	16.4	15.5	0.91
Juwan Howard	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.11	16	-1	17	15.9	14.6	1.27	15.8	15.9	-0.08
Jon Barry	47	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	8	-1	13.9	17.1	-3.19	15.6	16.0	-0.34
David Wesley	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-1	17	15.8	14.8	1.02	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Tracy McGrady	76	75	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	8	-1	16.0	13.1	2.98	16.1	14.7	1.37
Scott Padgett	23	22	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	14.8	15.7	-0.95	16.2	15.7	0.49
Yao Ming	61	57	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	15	-15	15.1	16.3	-1.20	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Bob Sura	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	15	-15	15.7	15.3	0.40	16.0	15.7	0.33
Clar. Weatherspoon	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	18	-21	18.0	15.4	2.56	12.5	15.9	-3.39

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	9	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-13	11	14.4	16.0	-1.52	12.9	15.7	-2.87
Corliss Williamson	18	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-13	11	16.6	15.6	0.93	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Eddie House	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-12	9	16.1	15.7	0.43	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Maurice Evans	14	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-4	-7	15.4	15.9	-0.45	15.9	15.4	0.44
Darius Songaila	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-9	3	16.0	15.6	0.41	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Brian Skinner	57	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-6	-3	15.7	16.0	-0.30	16.6	13.6	3.05
Kenny Thomas	53	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-4	-7	15.7	15.9	-0.19	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Peja Stojakovic	76	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-5	-5	16.0	15.1	0.89	16.3	11.0	5.29
Cuttino Mobley	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-5	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.0	19.8	-4.74
Mike Bibby	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-4	-7	15.8	16.1	-0.31	15.5	15.4	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 125, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0	95.2%
IND 103, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.2%
LAC 96, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	95.1%