NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	4.7 [863]		MVP	Sean Rooks (LAC): +8.7%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.2 [262]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -12.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	19	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	8	55%	0.06	5	-0.11	13	77%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.01	-0.06	12	41%	-0.02	4	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	63%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	13	47%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	19	53%	-0.02	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	26.6	15.0	23.8	1.6	38.4	131.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +40.0%

LAC +8.1%

LAC +7.8%

UTA -7.1%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	16.2	15.5	101.1	97.8	101.6
season	15.4	16.3		100.2	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.3	15.5	13.8	15.7	14.8
UTA	18.4	17.2	17.8	12.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wang Zhi-zhi	52	48	0.61	-0.12	0.73	-0.00	21	-14	35	15.6	13.9	1.73	16.2	16.1	0.18
Lamar Odom	87	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	15.0	12.7	2.27	16.0	18.0	-2.04
Andre Miller	74	70	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	2	3	15.0	14.2	0.82	15.6	18.0	-2.45
Elton Brand	80	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	15.0	13.9	1.15	16.3	15.3	1.00
Corey Maggette	71	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	13.7	18.1	-4.35	16.1	16.4	-0.26
Quentin Richardson	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	11	-15	14.6	15.0	-0.44	14.6	17.4	-2.75
Keyon Dooling	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	5	-3	14.2	15.0	-0.82	18.0	15.6	2.45
Sean Rooks	50	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	13	-19	15.2	14.5	0.69	17.5	14.6	2.91

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	56	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-14	21	16.2	16.1	0.18	14.9	14.7	0.26
Greg Ostertag	53	56	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-11	15	17.1	14.9	2.18	16.3	12.7	3.54
Scott Padgett	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-2	-3	13.2	17.2	-3.94	12.9	15.5	-2.59
Tony Massenburg	24	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.06	-10	3	-13	17.6	15.7	1.93	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Calbert Cheaney	57	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	18.0	13.0	5.01	15.9	13.3	2.61
Matt Harpring	72	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	15.9	17.2	-1.26	14.3	17.1	-2.74
Andrei Kirilenko	53	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	14.5	18.5	-3.96	14.5	15.3	-0.85
Karl Malone	82	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	16.0	17.8	-1.79	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Mark Jackson	35	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	7	-21	16.1	16.2	-0.18	14.7	14.9	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CHI 85, ORL 59	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 125, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0	95.2%