NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	91		Excitement	4.4 [932]		MVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): +3.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	74		Comeback	1.4 [538]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Crotty	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
John Starks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Stockton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	19	51%	0.03	4	-0.10	7	57%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	0.00	-0.06	21	51%	0.01	7	-0.11	13	77%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	9	82%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Earl Watson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	14	36%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	17	37%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	47.8	1.5	26.2	14.8	31.2	2.5	30.4	154.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +25.1%

UTA +11.2%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +0.2%

UTA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.0	15.6	102.2	85.1	102.3
season	16.1	16.0		102.9	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.1		103.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.5	17.8	16.5	18.4	16.7
SEA	14.9	15.0	16.2	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	54	52	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-2	21	17.2	15.9	1.22	16.1	16.0	0.06
Bryon Russell	51	49	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.06	18	-1	19	17.3	15.9	1.33	16.5	15.4	1.04
Donyell Marshall	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	2	13	16.2	19.1	-2.90	16.4	14.2	2.19
Karl Malone	74	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	16.0	20.0	-3.99	16.4	13.8	2.55
John Crotty	27	25	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	4	9	13.2	18.2	-5.02	14.9	16.5	-1.62
John Amaechi	32	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	10	-3	15.9	17.1	-1.22	15.3	16.4	-1.16
John Stockton	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	13	-9	18.2	13.2	5.02	16.5	14.9	1.62
John Starks	13	12	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	14	-11	19.5	16.2	3.34	13.6	16.4	-2.84
Scott Padgett	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	15.0	16.7	-1.72	23.0	16.0	7.05
Quincy Lewis	34	34	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	20	-23	16.3	16.9	-0.59	15.6	16.3	-0.64
Greg Ostertag	23	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	23	-29	18.3	16.1	2.12	15.2	16.3	-1.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-21	25	15.7	16.3	-0.57	18.3	15.3	2.98
Earl Watson	5	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-13	9	23.6	15.6	8.03	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Art Long	26	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-11	5	15.6	16.2	-0.60	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Vin Baker	62	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-3	-11	16.3	15.5	0.78	15.9	18.8	-2.88
Rashard Lewis	69	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.7	17.2	-1.50	17.0	15.4	1.57
Desmond Mason	49	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.09	-15	-2	-13	15.9	16.2	-0.27	17.2	16.1	1.13
Gary Payton	77	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-7	-3	15.8	17.9	-2.11	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	17.0	15.5	1.51	14.7	17.9	-3.25
Brent Barry	74	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	-2	-13	15.9	17.1	-1.23	17.4	12.4	4.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 125, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0	96.0%
CLE 91, BKN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIA 114, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%