NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	4.2 [974]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +13.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	95		Comeback	1.1 [1245]		LVP	Devin Brown (NOK): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	18	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	12	77%	0.14	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	19	32%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.08	7	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Vinicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.06	12	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	52%	0.04	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	0.09	13	46%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.0	26.2	16.8	23.0	1.7	27.4	118.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.3%

NOK -3.2%

PHX +12.3%

NOK -0.4%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOK	NBA	PHX	NOK	NBA
this game	14.1	15.8	15.4	107.3	97.9	104.5
season	13.8	16.0		112.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		104.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.2	12.8	15.4	17.7	14.1
NOK	15.4	14.8	17.3	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-3	14	14.9	12.7	2.24	15.3	16.5	-1.27
Kurt Thomas	50	50	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	15.4	12.6	2.83	15.8	15.7	0.02
Raja Bell	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	14.0	14.4	-0.44	15.8	15.6	0.22
Shawn Marion	69	68	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	1	6	13.5	15.6	-2.10	15.2	17.0	-1.83
James Jones	37	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-1	10	15.2	13.4	1.80	16.8	15.0	1.87
Steve Nash	73	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	13.5	15.9	-2.35	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Boris Diaw	66	69	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	12	-16	14.0	14.2	-0.12	16.3	14.3	2.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	46	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	9	-10	12.6	15.4	-2.83	15.7	15.8	-0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	16	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-9	10	15.8	15.7	0.07	11.6	14.5	-2.86
Marcus Vinicius	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.7	13.7	0.98
Marc Jackson	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	15.4	16.3	-0.88	13.1	15.6	-2.50
Hilton Armstrong	36	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	3	-14	16.5	15.3	1.14	15.2	13.5	1.74
Bobby Jackson	44	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	0	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.59	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Jannero Pargo	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	15.7	15.8	-0.16	15.0	13.1	1.83
Devin Brown	71	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	0	-8	16.1	14.8	1.29	13.6	15.3	-1.63
David West	71	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-6	4	15.1	17.5	-2.33	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Rasual Butler	80	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.2	0.70	14.2	13.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 119, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 103, MIA 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.29,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.0%
NJN 113, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%