NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	4.5 [933]		MVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): +17.8%
Dallas Mavericks	108		Comeback	1.1 [487]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -11.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.26	0.00	0.09	13	93%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	11	70%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	5	92%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.03
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	20	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.05	21	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.01	0.05	16	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	13	58%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.3	35.4	16.4	29.5	2.8	48.3	166.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +14.8%

OKC +6.8%

OKC +19.0%

OKC +7.1%

OKC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	DAL	NBA	OKC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	14.9	126.6	114.9	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		111.5	105.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		106.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	14.2	14.7	15.4	14.6
DAL	17.3	15.1	16.6	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	83	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	3	5	14.9	12.0	2.94	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Dion Waiters	52	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	-3	17	14.4	14.9	-0.47	16.3	15.6	0.69
Enes Kanter	53	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	5	1	14.1	15.3	-1.19	15.6	16.6	-0.95
Nick Collison	22	22	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-3	17	13.9	14.8	-0.96	18.0	15.5	2.50
Russell Westbrook	76	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	7	-3	14.6	14.4	0.19	16.0	16.1	-0.08
Randy Foye	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	4	3	14.4	14.6	-0.19	16.1	16.0	0.08
Andre Roberson	53	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	13	-15	14.3	15.0	-0.76	15.8	16.3	-0.43
Serge Ibaka	66	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	13	-15	14.9	13.9	0.95	15.6	17.2	-1.66
Steven Adams	47	48	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	7	-3	15.1	14.1	1.06	16.3	15.8	0.51

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	35	38	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.22	8	-19	27	16.0	16.1	-0.11	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Charlie Villanueva	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	16.0	16.0	-0.04	7.7	14.8	-7.16
Deron Williams	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-11	11	19.5	16.0	3.53	20.0	14.4	5.58
Salah Mejri	36	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-12	13	16.4	15.8	0.65	14.8	14.5	0.31
David Lee	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	15.3	16.4	-1.06	13.8	15.0	-1.24
Raymond Felton	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	15.9	16.6	-0.73	14.7	14.2	0.52
Zaza Pachulia	39	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.11	-14	3	-17	16.8	15.5	1.37	14.6	14.6	0.05
Jose Juan Barea	53	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	16.5	15.5	0.98	14.6	14.6	0.03
Devin Harris	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	0	-11	16.3	15.8	0.51	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-3	-5	15.7	17.5	-1.76	15.1	12.1	2.98
Wesley Matthews	76	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	5	-21	15.7	17.5	-1.80	14.7	14.3	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, NOK 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
BOS 101, NOK 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAL 108, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%