NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	73		Excitement	5.1 [780]		MVP	Elliot Perry (MIL): +3.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	65		Comeback	1.0 [617]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -32.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.07
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	18	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	31%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Ken Norman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Tower	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	17	33%	-0.12	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33	-0.33	-0.24	-0.09	-0.00	20	21%	-0.27	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	25.5	14.6	26.8	1.7	27.4	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +49.6%

ATL +2.1%

ATL +10.6%

MIL -13.0%

ATL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIL	NBA	ATL	MIL	NBA
this game	18.1	17.4	15.6	90.1	80.2	104.4
season	16.4	16.0		105.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		106.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	17.4	19.9	20.7	18.1
MIL	17.8	17.8	16.1	18.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eldridge Recasner	78	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-3	14	18.0	22.3	-4.37	17.3	20.3	-3.01
Dikembe Mutombo	73	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	2	4	18.9	11.4	7.49	17.7	14.1	3.60
Christian Laettner	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	0	8	17.4	24.5	-7.08	17.4	18.1	-0.77
Tyrone Corbin	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	2	4	16.7	24.1	-7.40	16.5	21.2	-4.68
Jon Barry	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	1	6	17.6	19.4	-1.79	17.1	18.1	-0.99
Donnie Boyce	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	6	-4	18.1	18.2	-0.10	17.4	17.5	-0.05
Ken Norman	20	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	11	-14	24.5	16.0	8.53	20.6	16.5	4.18
Ivano Newbill	9	10	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	5	-2	19.1	18.0	1.11	18.3	17.3	0.99

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Tower	35	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-7	6	16.9	17.9	-1.01	15.5	19.8	-4.34
Shawn Respert	12	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-2	-4	15.2	17.8	-2.66	17.9	18.2	-0.24
David Wood	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-2	-4	17.8	17.3	0.50	17.1	18.4	-1.35
Elliot Perry	14	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	0	-8	16.9	17.6	-0.70	13.0	19.2	-6.19
Sherman Douglas	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-12	16	17.9	16.4	1.44	18.9	16.5	2.33
Joe Wolf	19	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-1	-6	17.8	17.3	0.47	19.9	17.5	2.36
Johnny Newman	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-9	10	17.1	17.9	-0.83	18.6	17.5	1.02
Armen Gilliam	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-5	2	17.6	16.4	1.24	18.6	15.3	3.30
Ray Allen	64	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	17.4	17.7	-0.35	17.9	19.0	-1.09
Glenn Robinson	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-1	-6	17.8	14.8	3.00	19.0	11.9	7.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, CLE 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DAL 105, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
ATL 91, DET 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%