NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	4.4 [932]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): +14.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Comeback	1.2 [478]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -14.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	21	66%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	6	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Keith McLeod	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ndudi Ebi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	22	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	19	37%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	46%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	41%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	0.05	19	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	15	38%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.7	29.5	17.7	28.0	0.7	29.2	130.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +10.9%

MIN +11.7%

MIN +11.0%

MIN +15.1%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.7	109.0	94.3	100.5
season	15.6	15.7		103.2	99.8
opponent	15.5	16.1		102.3	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	13.5	19.8	17.0	16.3
CLE	15.5	18.6	14.5	16.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	-10	34	15.9	18.8	-2.95	15.9	18.4	-2.49
Latrell Sprewell	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-3	20	16.0	17.3	-1.25	16.5	15.3	1.27
Trenton Hassell	49	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	4	6	16.4	16.1	0.37	14.9	17.9	-3.10
Mark Madsen	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	-1	16	17.4	14.9	2.51	16.5	15.9	0.60
Sam Cassell	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	-1	16	15.7	18.2	-2.56	16.7	14.8	1.97
Fred Hoiberg	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	6	2	15.7	17.2	-1.51	17.3	14.8	2.51
Gary Trent	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	16	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.68	16.3	16.2	0.04
Keith McLeod	26	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	20	-26	18.9	15.2	3.68	15.4	16.6	-1.23
Ndudi Ebi	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	24.5	16.1	8.41	3.0	16.4	-13.41
Quincy Lewis	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	24.5	16.1	8.41	3.0	16.4	-13.41
Michael Olowokandi	20	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	21	-28	14.9	16.7	-1.78	17.7	15.9	1.81

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	8	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-18	22	13.5	16.5	-3.04	18.0	16.1	1.91
Ira Newble	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	16.6	16.2	0.38	14.5	16.5	-2.01
Jason Kapono	40	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-11	8	16.4	16.2	0.21	17.1	15.5	1.63
LeBron James	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-9	4	15.9	17.2	-1.29	16.4	16.0	0.38
DeSagana Diop	57	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-5	-4	15.8	17.2	-1.44	16.6	15.7	0.83
Kevin Ollie	27	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	18.5	15.3	3.26	15.7	16.5	-0.88
Chris Mihm	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	16.2	16.3	-0.19	16.9	15.8	1.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	16.6	15.2	1.41	16.2	16.6	-0.48
Darius Miles	51	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	0	-14	16.4	16.1	0.36	15.2	17.6	-2.42
Ricky Davis	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	-1	-12	16.0	17.7	-1.73	16.2	16.6	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
PHX 98, SAC 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
SAC 125, LAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%