NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	5.7 [708]		MVP	Reggie Evans (SEA): +7.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	107		Comeback	1.2 [532]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -17.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.10	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	44%	-0.02	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	0.00	0.03	30	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	24	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.04	15	33%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	19%	-0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.5	26.6	15.0	36.0	1.8	30.3	140.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.9%

PHI +3.5%

PHI +10.6%

PHI +12.0%

PHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SEA	NBA	PHI	SEA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	15.5	115.2	109.2	104.0
season	13.9	16.5		101.1	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.8		107.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	14.4	12.6	16.0	13.5
SEA	17.4	15.6	13.6	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	49	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-10	27	12.2	14.7	-2.44	16.1	15.5	0.56
Marc Jackson	52	51	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-7	21	13.0	13.9	-0.92	14.5	17.2	-2.76
Andre Iguodala	86	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	-3	13	13.7	11.6	2.12	16.0	14.7	1.32
Allen Iverson	86	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	13.1	15.5	-2.40	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Corliss Williamson	43	41	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	-2	11	13.4	13.5	-0.06	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Kenny Thomas	67	68	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.29	-5	12	-17	14.0	12.3	1.69	16.2	14.9	1.34
Kevin Ollie	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	14.9	13.1	1.79	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Samuel Dalembert	36	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	11	-15	13.1	13.7	-0.54	17.1	15.1	1.99
Willie Green	59	59	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.37	-15	22	-37	14.1	12.5	1.60	15.5	16.3	-0.85

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	37	38	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-11	15	15.2	16.2	-1.02	12.7	13.9	-1.25
Jerome James	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-9	11	15.7	15.9	-0.21	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Vitaly Potapenko	12	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-6	5	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.0	13.4	0.61
Luke Ridnour	64	66	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-13	19	15.4	16.5	-1.03	13.9	12.5	1.45
Ronald Murray	32	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	16.5	15.5	1.05	12.1	14.1	-1.98
Rashard Lewis	86	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-8	9	15.5	17.7	-2.13	13.2	15.5	-2.33
Danny Fortson	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-1	-5	16.4	15.5	0.90	13.8	13.3	0.49
Nick Collison	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	3	-13	16.5	15.4	1.07	14.3	13.0	1.29
Antonio Daniels	43	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.0	13.8	-0.72
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	5	-17	15.2	16.2	-1.00	13.4	13.5	-0.10
Ray Allen	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	16.2	14.5	1.61	14.0	11.4	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.0%
SAS 105, GSW 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%