NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	4.6 [873]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +15.2%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	1.2 [832]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -17.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	15	83%	0.17	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	73%	0.02	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	73%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	9	46%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.05	17	53%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	0.04	23	37%	-0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	16	38%	-0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.2	17.6	22.4	2.5	29.5	129.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +58.8%

NYK -9.1%

NYK -19.3%

CHI +19.8%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	17.4	15.4	117.6	95.4	105.7
season	15.0	15.7		102.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.5		109.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.0	16.3	18.6	15.0	16.1
NYK	17.6	18.0	20.3	14.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	57	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.02	16	1	15	16.9	14.5	2.47	18.6	14.6	4.00
Kirk Hinrich	67	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	0	17	16.3	15.6	0.64	17.9	15.4	2.41
Ben Gordon	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-1	19	15.5	17.3	-1.81	16.5	18.9	-2.45
Joakim Noah	32	33	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	9	-1	16.9	15.6	1.31	16.0	18.2	-2.19
Ben Wallace	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	3	11	16.3	15.7	0.59	18.8	13.3	5.45
Aaron Gray	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	14	-11	15.1	16.7	-1.66	14.3	19.1	-4.76
Chris Duhon	43	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	15	-13	16.9	15.3	1.55	18.3	16.3	2.02
Joe Smith	35	38	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	9	-1	17.0	15.5	1.50	18.6	16.4	2.26
Andres Nocioni	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	12	-7	13.9	17.5	-3.61	15.9	18.2	-2.34
Adrian Griffin	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	14.2	16.2	-1.96	10.0	17.7	-7.71
Thabo Sefolosha	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	14.2	16.2	-1.96	10.0	17.7	-7.71

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	28	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-19	21	19.2	16.5	2.69	17.3	15.6	1.67
Mardy Collins	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-11	5	14.4	19.3	-4.93	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Renaldo Balkman	19	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-12	7	17.0	17.5	-0.46	18.4	15.5	2.88
Zach Randolph	70	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.20	1	-18	19	17.3	17.4	-0.07	16.5	14.6	1.84
Quentin Richardson	68	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-5	-7	17.3	17.7	-0.42	15.7	17.3	-1.61
Nate Robinson	71	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-6	-5	18.2	13.7	4.42	16.3	15.4	0.88
Eddy Curry	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-3	-11	16.9	17.7	-0.88	16.0	16.2	-0.17
David Lee	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-1	-15	17.6	16.8	0.78	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Fred Jones	42	41	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.18	-24	7	-31	17.7	17.1	0.60	15.4	16.8	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 114, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 97, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0	95.2%
UTA 103, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%