NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	4.5 [895]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +23.1%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	1.6 [1128]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -13.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.06	-0.04	14	73%	0.26	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	11	71%	0.15	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	79%	0.13	6	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othyus Jeffers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	62%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	60%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	11	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	22	38%	-0.10	2	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	30.2	16.6	26.8	2.5	30.2	129.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +61.4%

UTA +14.3%

WAS -3.3%

WAS -19.1%

WAS -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	WAS	NBA	UTA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.6	16.6	15.3	112.0	93.5	106.0
season	15.3	15.7		109.5	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	14.4	13.2	13.8	14.6
WAS	16.5	16.3	21.1	13.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	-5	26	14.5	14.8	-0.35	17.8	13.0	4.85
CJ Miles	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-2	20	14.4	15.1	-0.75	17.3	14.0	3.29
Carlos Boozer	55	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.15	17	-1	18	14.0	15.4	-1.45	17.6	14.9	2.68
Kyle Korver	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	0	16	13.8	15.8	-1.99	15.6	17.9	-2.30
Wesley Matthews	42	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	15.1	14.1	1.02	18.7	14.7	4.02
Deron Williams	74	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	3	10	14.1	16.4	-2.34	16.8	15.4	1.45
Paul Millsap	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	5	6	14.8	14.4	0.44	15.9	17.2	-1.28
Ronnie Price	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	13	-10	16.4	14.1	2.34	15.4	16.8	-1.45
Sundiata Gaines	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	16.9	14.4	2.48	10.5	17.1	-6.63
Othyus Jeffers	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	16.9	14.4	2.48	10.5	17.1	-6.63
Kyrylo Fesenko	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	22	-28	16.9	14.4	2.48	9.7	17.1	-7.40
Kosta Koufos	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.22	-11	27	-38	15.9	14.4	1.47	9.0	17.4	-8.37

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	10.4	17.4	-7.03	16.0	14.4	1.63
Fabricio Oberto	15	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	-13	10	13.9	17.1	-3.21	13.3	14.8	-1.51
James Singleton	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-7	-2	17.1	15.7	1.39	14.7	14.3	0.44
Alonzo Gee	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-12	8	18.1	14.8	3.35	15.1	14.0	1.08
Shaun Livingston	66	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-13	10	16.6	16.6	0.01	14.6	14.5	0.14
Earl Boykins	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	16.6	16.6	-0.01	14.5	14.6	-0.14
JaVale McGee	34	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-9	2	15.7	17.1	-1.39	14.3	14.7	-0.44
Nick Young	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-3	-10	14.9	18.9	-4.04	13.8	15.7	-1.95
Andray Blatche	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	-3	-10	17.1	13.9	3.21	14.8	13.3	1.51
Mike Miller	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	2	-20	17.7	12.9	4.84	14.6	14.5	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NJN 119, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DET 84, PHX 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.03,0.02,0	94.4%