NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	4.3 [971]		MVP	TJ Leaf (IND): +14.3%
Indiana Pacers	96		Comeback	1.2 [988]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (POR): -20.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.20	0.02	0.10	18	74%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	64%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	17	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Caleb Swanigan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	20%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	0.00	13	37%	-0.05	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.04	0.03	11	74%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Anigbogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	9	64%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	17	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	5	21%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	29.4	14.6	26.0	2.6	28.7	126.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.5%

POR +2.3%

POR +11.9%

POR +0.7%

POR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	13.7	14.7	116.3	97.0	107.5
season	15.2	14.8		107.8	108.3
opponent	15.0	14.3		106.7	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	14.5	14.9	17.6	15.6
IND	13.5	14.9	13.4	12.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.32	27	-9	36	15.0	17.1	-2.11	14.0	12.9	1.10
Evan Turner	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.18	22	-4	26	15.6	15.5	0.08	14.2	12.8	1.38
Damian Lillard	69	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	-7	32	14.8	17.2	-2.40	13.8	13.4	0.47
Ed Davis	41	42	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	6	6	15.6	15.5	0.10	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Maurice Harkless	41	41	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	9	0	14.6	16.2	-1.58	15.0	12.8	2.27
Pat Connaughton	45	45	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	13	-8	16.2	15.0	1.28	12.4	14.8	-2.38
Jusuf Nurkic	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.19	11	7	4	15.4	15.7	-0.27	14.3	13.0	1.33
CJ McCollum	65	65	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	15	-12	16.2	14.2	2.06	14.0	13.1	0.84
Caleb Swanigan	17	17	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	22	-26	16.4	15.4	0.97	13.6	13.7	-0.06
Jake Layman	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	16.4	15.5	0.89	8.2	14.0	-5.79
Shabazz Napier	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	16.4	15.5	0.89	8.2	14.0	-5.79
Zach Collins	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	28	-38	17.8	15.2	2.65	10.3	14.3	-3.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	16	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-21	24	13.7	13.7	-0.01	16.7	15.3	1.43
Joe Young	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	12.6	13.8	-1.21	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Alex Poythress	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	12.6	13.8	-1.21	15.4	15.6	-0.19
Ike Anigbogu	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	8.2	14.0	-5.79	16.4	15.5	0.89
TJ Leaf	39	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	-17	16	12.7	14.3	-1.62	17.2	14.5	2.67
Al Jefferson	31	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-11	4	14.4	13.4	1.00	16.9	14.9	1.97
Bojan Bogdanovic	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-8	-2	13.6	13.8	-0.17	14.9	16.3	-1.46
Darren Collison	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-15	12	13.1	14.8	-1.68	15.0	16.6	-1.59
Cory Joseph	40	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.17	-16	-2	-14	14.2	13.3	0.89	17.4	14.4	3.05
Lance Stephenson	40	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-12	-6	-6	14.5	13.1	1.43	15.9	15.3	0.56
Thaddeus Young	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-3	-12	13.9	13.3	0.64	14.5	17.4	-2.86
Victor Oladipo	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	0	-18	13.7	13.6	0.09	15.1	16.6	-1.47
Domantas Sabonis	61	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.07	-18	0	-18	14.2	12.9	1.26	14.8	16.7	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
LAC 100, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 100, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%