inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 105 Excitement4.0 [1006] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +19.8%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback1.3 [282] LVPNorris Cole (MIA): -12.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.140.04-0.02986%0.201-0.003100%0.01
Luol Deng0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.220.010.051975%0.1900.0020%-0.00
Chris Bosh0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.00-0.041065%0.093-0.011155%-0.01
Shawne Williams0.040,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00570%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03375%0.0100.002100%-0.00
Josh McRoberts0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.001853%0.043-0.04250%-0.01
James Ennis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.0440%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Norris Cole-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.0130%-0.043-0.0900%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.020.011468%0.162-0.05683%0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011070%0.083-0.03367%-0.02
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.170.000.166100%0.0100.003100%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.030.001550%0.021-0.03475%-0.01
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.010.04267%-0.011-0.0320%-0.02
Richard Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.01312%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01955%0.024-0.08250%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02917%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.01-0.02920%-0.102-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.531.816.732.31.833.3142.6
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.6%
DAL -1.6%
DAL -4.2%
MIA +1.5%
MIA +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIADALNBAMIADALNBA
this game17.214.215.1114.1105.5104.2
season16.014.6102.4107.6
opponent15.015.3105.0105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.916.519.619.317.2
DAL14.317.013.112.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario Chalmers65630.69-0.190.870.1618-92717.716.11.6314.413.80.64
Luol Deng71700.57-0.070.630.1315-62117.217.20.0514.114.6-0.50
Udonis Haslem35350.400.100.300.0213-41716.917.4-0.5514.014.4-0.33
Josh McRoberts31300.300.200.10-0.0211-21316.717.5-0.7816.813.03.88
Shabazz Napier51490.270.230.040.1545-117.816.51.3813.315.3-2.05
Chris Bosh72700.260.240.020.0572517.017.9-0.9214.314.10.11
Dwyane Wade68680.210.29-0.090.41-716-2316.918.0-1.1014.114.7-0.68
Shawne Williams36370.040.46-0.420.19-514-1917.716.90.8113.714.6-0.84
James Ennis45-0.040.54-0.580.02-211-1320.217.13.1616.614.12.51
Norris Cole2728-0.190.69-0.870.08-918-2716.117.7-1.6313.814.4-0.64

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva10-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-995.014.3-9.330.017.2-17.23
Jae Crowder2323-0.04-0.460.43-0.247-162312.214.9-2.7519.316.52.83
Tyson Chandler5555-0.06-0.440.37-0.00-2-7515.212.72.4517.017.5-0.48
Chandler Parsons5757-0.11-0.390.28-0.389-182713.615.3-1.6517.317.10.14
Richard Jefferson1213-0.14-0.360.220.01-5-4-112.714.5-1.8018.017.10.90
Jose Juan Barea2425-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-2-514.314.20.0817.017.3-0.31
Jameer Nelson5355-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.446-152113.715.0-1.2817.317.20.11
Devin Harris4039-0.28-0.22-0.060.25-189-2714.813.81.0217.117.3-0.26
Monta Ellis6465-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-101114.413.70.7017.416.90.48
Dirk Nowitzki5556-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-112-1315.712.03.6916.917.7-0.86
Al-Farouq Aminu3535-0.39-0.11-0.280.14-189-2714.813.90.9716.018.0-1.98
Brandan Wright3637-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.23-7-2-512.715.2-2.4517.517.00.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 114, IND 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
SAC 114, WAS 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
LAC 114, MEM 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%