NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	114		Excitement	3.9 [1025]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +12.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.3 [565]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -14.8%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.18	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.04
Austin Rivers	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	10	77%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	15	63%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.04	0.02	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	74%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	13	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	16	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	30%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.12	-0.00	0.12	5	108%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.03	0.03	14	37%	-0.10	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	36.5	15.4	27.5	2.4	31.4	140.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +44.2%

LAC +7.7%

LAC +12.0%

MEM -9.5%

MEM -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	14.8	118.8	101.0	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		110.8	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.7	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	16.2	14.1	16.5	15.7
MEM	15.1	13.2	14.1	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	3	10	16.1	14.7	1.46	15.0	12.2	2.80
Blake Griffin	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-3	22	15.3	16.4	-1.12	14.1	14.2	-0.06
Jamal Crawford	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	-4	24	16.3	15.0	1.24	13.2	15.3	-2.17
Chris Paul	55	56	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	7	2	15.1	16.6	-1.47	14.5	13.6	0.95
JJ Redick	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	7	2	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.3	13.5	1.89
Austin Rivers	64	66	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	9	-2	16.2	14.7	1.59	13.7	15.1	-1.46
Raymond Felton	50	52	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	9	-2	16.2	15.2	0.92	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Marreese Speights	37	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	15.8	15.6	0.19	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	16	-16	14.6	16.1	-1.46	15.2	13.8	1.37
Wesley Johnson	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.25	-7	23	-30	15.0	15.9	-0.98	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Brandon Bass	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	17	-18	16.6	15.6	0.92	13.1	14.2	-1.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-21	26	13.9	14.2	-0.39	15.4	15.8	-0.39
JaMychal Green	47	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-14	12	13.2	15.0	-1.83	16.5	15.0	1.53
Mike Conley	74	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-11	6	13.9	14.8	-0.91	15.4	16.6	-1.19
James Ennis III	37	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.19	-13	-3	-10	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.8	16.4	-1.56
Troy Daniels	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-15	14	15.6	13.5	2.07	16.5	15.4	1.08
Brandan Wright	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-13	10	14.1	14.2	-0.05	15.5	15.8	-0.39
Tony Allen	51	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-9	2	13.2	15.2	-1.98	15.9	15.5	0.41
Zach Randolph	51	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-2	-12	14.2	14.0	0.21	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Toney Douglas	23	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-5	-6	14.8	13.9	0.91	16.6	15.4	1.19
Marc Gasol	65	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	-3	-10	14.8	12.9	1.88	15.7	15.7	0.03
Vince Carter	48	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	0	-16	14.6	13.7	0.85	16.0	15.5	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 119, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIL 104, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.16,0.08,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NOP 110, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%