inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 119 Excitement3.9 [1030] MVPJabari Parker (MIL): +21.1%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback1.3 [540] LVPIsh Smith (DET): -8.0%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jabari Parker0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.260.030.081884%0.231-0.021100%0.00
Tony Snell0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.034137%0.1200.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.021853%0.091-0.03786%0.02
Matthew Dellavedova0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00773%0.091-0.031100%0.01
Greg Monroe0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.011067%0.052-0.0110%-0.00
John Henson0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00458%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.02667%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Steve Novak0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thon Maker0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00839%-0.0300.00250%-0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.00-0.041545%0.0600.001100%0.01
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.011141%0.0100.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.053100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.11-0.010.091570%0.052-0.043100%0.01
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.07520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Boban Marjanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.011046%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Andre Drummond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.011350%0.001-0.01633%-0.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.13-0.00-0.05520%-0.054-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.429.615.727.12.426.4125.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +47.8%
MIL +6.1%
DET -11.0%
MIL +5.7%
MIL +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILDETNBAMILDETNBA
this game14.815.814.8126.6100.0107.7
season14.915.0107.4105.0
opponent15.115.3106.4107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL14.014.015.216.114.8
DET16.016.015.415.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jabari Parker65660.52-0.020.54-0.2727-22915.114.20.9516.614.02.52
Tony Snell54550.51-0.010.53-0.072051514.615.1-0.5116.315.11.29
Giannis Antetokounmpo68670.310.190.12-0.19178914.814.9-0.0816.314.61.65
Malcolm Brogdon56560.310.190.12-0.282051514.914.80.1115.216.7-1.43
Greg Monroe53530.290.210.08-0.302051515.014.70.3015.716.0-0.34
John Henson36360.210.29-0.080.03619-1314.515.0-0.5316.615.31.21
Matthew Dellavedova38380.190.31-0.120.04520-1514.814.9-0.1116.715.21.43
Michael Beasley45450.170.33-0.16-0.07817-914.215.4-1.1714.816.7-1.85
Steve Novak550.000.50-0.500.03-126-2715.814.81.0212.016.0-4.02
Thon Maker550.000.50-0.500.03-126-2715.814.81.0212.016.0-4.02
Miles Plumlee550.000.50-0.500.03-126-2715.814.81.0212.016.0-4.02
Jason Terry4039-0.010.51-0.53-0.16520-1515.114.60.5115.116.3-1.29

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrun Hilliard780.00-0.500.500.03-1-242313.916.0-2.1116.514.71.83
Henry Ellenson780.00-0.500.500.03-1-242313.916.0-2.1116.514.71.83
Boban Marjanovic780.00-0.500.500.03-1-242313.916.0-2.1116.514.71.83
Ish Smith4141-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-221914.616.8-2.2114.914.80.09
Stanley Johnson3031-0.08-0.420.340.21-10-15514.816.3-1.4816.314.12.23
Jon Leuer5757-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-232115.915.70.1714.814.9-0.15
Aron Baynes3635-0.15-0.350.200.20-12-13115.216.2-0.9115.014.70.23
Andre Drummond5151-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-12-13116.515.01.4514.515.3-0.79
Reggie Jackson6666-0.37-0.13-0.250.15-18-7-1116.514.22.2714.615.4-0.80
Tobias Harris6262-0.38-0.12-0.250.18-19-6-1315.416.7-1.2914.715.1-0.40
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6058-0.500.00-0.510.20-24-1-2316.714.32.3714.715.1-0.46
Marcus Morris4645-0.530.03-0.570.11-22-3-1916.615.11.5214.015.6-1.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 114, MEM 980.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
CHI 103, CHH 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
NOP 110, NYK 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%