NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.1 [815]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.4%
Charlotte Bobcats	88		Comeback	1.4 [442]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -18.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	25	63%	0.24	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.04
Chris Kaman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.02	16	65%	0.15	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Yaroslav Korolev	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	13	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	9	36%	-0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	14	56%	0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.03	15	54%	0.01	0	0.00	9	100%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	10	18%	-0.13	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	36.8	15.6	26.8	1.0	30.2	136.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.1%

LAC +12.9%

LAC +18.6%

CHA -15.8%

LAC +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHA	NBA	LAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.6	99.0	93.6	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		103.9	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	15.6	14.8	17.0	15.6
CHA	17.0	13.0	14.6	13.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	84	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-5	19	15.4	17.0	-1.63	14.9	10.6	4.34
Cuttino Mobley	84	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	15.5	16.2	-0.71	14.7	12.6	2.12
Elton Brand	82	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	15.4	16.9	-1.52	14.8	12.2	2.56
Shaun Livingston	85	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	15.4	16.7	-1.26	14.5	13.4	1.15
Sam Cassell	77	73	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.09	10	-1	11	15.9	14.5	1.43	14.5	13.8	0.72
Yaroslav Korolev	30	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	6	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.72	12.9	15.0	-2.08
Chris Wilcox	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	11	-13	17.1	15.2	1.94	11.7	15.1	-3.37
James Singleton	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	17.6	15.5	2.12	14.7	14.3	0.37
Walter McCarty	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	15.9	15.6	0.30	11.4	14.7	-3.28
Howard Eisley	1	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	17.0	15.6	1.41	18.5	14.3	4.22
Daniel Ewing	12	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	13	-17	16.1	15.5	0.55	12.3	14.7	-2.38

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	20	25	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-18	27	11.0	15.3	-4.22	15.8	15.5	0.21
Kevin Burleson	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-15	21	14.2	14.4	-0.21	18.4	15.1	3.30
Alan Anderson	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-11	13	15.0	14.3	0.68	16.0	15.6	0.43
Melvin Ely	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-3	-3	14.0	14.6	-0.60	15.8	15.4	0.42
Bernard Robinson	48	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.34	5	-14	19	13.9	14.8	-0.89	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Jumaine Jones	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	12.7	15.5	-2.80	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Primoz Brezec	61	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	14.9	13.3	1.60	16.0	14.9	1.06
Keith Bogans	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	15.3	13.5	1.78	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Raymond Felton	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	3	-15	14.5	14.1	0.39	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Brevin Knight	68	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	3	-15	14.7	13.4	1.37	15.8	15.2	0.59
Gerald Wallace	67	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	11	-31	15.1	12.4	2.70	14.8	17.5	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CHI 100, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
HOU 127, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%