NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.7 [457]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +19.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	4.6 [361]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -21.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	12	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	89%	0.21	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	68%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-0.03	29	41%	-0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.01	21	57%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19	0.19	0.01	0.13	-0.05	24	48%	0.26	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.09
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	7	82%	0.18	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.3	32.6	20.6	29.0	3.5	36.2	152.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +18.4%

OKC +7.9%

OKC +21.9%

OKC +1.2%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	17.5	14.0	15.3	104.3	111.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		107.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.1	16.4	18.3	17.1	17.5
OKC	14.6	13.6	13.0	14.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	5	4	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-8	11	20.6	17.3	3.32	13.5	14.0	-0.52
Jordan Farmar	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	16.2	17.9	-1.71	14.8	13.7	1.05
Andrew Bynum	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-10	15	18.1	16.3	1.80	14.8	12.6	2.23
Pau Gasol	82	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	17.4	17.6	-0.16	13.8	16.0	-2.22
Kobe Bryant	80	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-6	7	17.4	18.1	-0.72	14.2	12.9	1.26
Metta World Peace	82	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-3	1	17.1	20.7	-3.64	13.8	15.1	-1.24
Derek Fisher	71	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-4	3	17.5	17.2	0.34	13.6	15.4	-1.86
Shannon Brown	17	20	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	7	-19	18.9	17.1	1.75	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Lamar Odom	41	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	5	-15	17.1	17.7	-0.56	13.6	14.3	-0.71

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	53	53	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.28	19	-14	33	14.0	14.0	0.00	17.8	17.0	0.75
James Harden	60	59	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.23	12	-7	19	13.9	14.1	-0.20	17.9	16.7	1.14
Serge Ibaka	52	51	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.31	8	-3	11	14.4	13.5	0.90	17.4	17.5	-0.14
Kevin Durant	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	0	5	13.9	14.9	-1.03	17.2	19.8	-2.63
Russell Westbrook	79	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	1	3	13.7	16.0	-2.30	17.8	15.3	2.48
Eric Maynor	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	4	-3	16.0	13.7	2.30	15.3	17.8	-2.48
Jeff Green	54	56	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.01	-2	7	-9	13.3	15.1	-1.78	17.2	17.9	-0.66
Thabo Sefolosha	36	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	13	-21	14.0	14.0	-0.05	17.2	17.6	-0.37
Nenad Krstic	29	29	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.08	-14	19	-33	15.2	13.5	1.72	17.8	17.3	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 83, PHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,1,1,1	92.7%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	92.4%
MIA 66, BOS 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	92.4%