NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	79		Excitement	5.9 [661]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +29.0%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	3.5 [437]		LVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): -16.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Carroll	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Adam Morrison	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	23	49%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	13	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	55%	0.03	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.12	-0.00	18	68%	0.29	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	58%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	8	12%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.5	15.5	26.2	1.8	31.0	135.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.1%

CHA -9.7%

ATL +18.9%

CHA -2.3%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	17.0	15.5	90.8	98.8	106.4
season	16.5	15.8		103.0	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		106.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.9	16.3	15.9	18.8	16.7
ATL	16.1	18.0	16.9	17.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	24	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	15.6	17.1	-1.50	18.1	16.6	1.52
Emeka Okafor	66	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-6	8	15.6	20.0	-4.33	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Adam Morrison	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.9	17.2	-2.39	18.7	16.5	2.27
Nazr Mohammed	15	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-3	2	19.2	16.1	3.06	16.2	17.2	-0.90
Gerald Wallace	66	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-3	2	17.3	14.6	2.76	16.8	17.8	-0.98
Raymond Felton	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	17.1	15.1	2.00	16.7	18.5	-1.76
Raja Bell	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	16.9	16.3	0.60	16.6	17.7	-1.16
Boris Diaw	72	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.38	-7	3	-10	17.0	15.1	1.93	16.6	18.9	-2.29
D.J. Augustin	51	47	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	4	-12	16.4	17.0	-0.62	18.0	15.8	2.17

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	77	79	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-7	18	17.0	17.6	-0.60	17.3	10.1	7.20
Josh Smith	59	62	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-3	10	16.4	18.5	-2.13	17.2	15.4	1.78
Al Horford	65	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-4	12	16.9	17.3	-0.38	17.8	12.9	4.89
Maurice Evans	35	39	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-8	20	18.7	15.9	2.80	15.5	17.6	-2.04
Mike Bibby	61	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	-1	6	16.9	17.5	-0.63	16.4	17.4	-0.97
Ronald Murray	28	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	2	0	18.2	16.4	1.84	16.8	16.6	0.20
Solomon Jones	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	3	-2	17.6	17.0	0.61	13.0	16.9	-3.89
Randolph Morris	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	17.2	-17.23	4.0	16.8	-12.81
Mario West	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	6	-8	0.0	17.2	-17.23	4.0	16.8	-12.81
Marvin Williams	61	61	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.31	-12	16	-28	16.7	17.9	-1.22	17.0	15.9	1.06
Zaza Pachulia	14	15	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	17.2	17.0	0.23	12.9	17.5	-4.59
Acie Law	13	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	9	-14	18.2	16.8	1.34	15.1	16.9	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
CHI 87, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.7%
MIN 103, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%