NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	6.4 [539]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +28.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	3.6 [623]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -11.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	17	51%	0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.03	-0.02	16	60%	0.11	4	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Gorgui Dieng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Alexey Shved	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	46%	-0.03	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	6	67%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	14	36%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.01	21	73%	0.33	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.11	0.02	11	78%	0.24	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.03	4	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.07	15	59%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	17	43%	0.01	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	24.6	15.4	26.2	1.8	30.3	124.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +71.2%

MIN -8.7%

MIN -2.2%

MIN -11.8%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.9	13.4	15.1	106.2	113.0	105.2
season	14.6	14.4		107.3	107.8
opponent	15.4	14.5		102.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	16.4	17.5	15.3	15.9
OKC	13.9	11.9	13.2	14.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	59	60	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-19	28	15.9	15.9	0.01	13.4	13.3	0.08
Kevin Love	66	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-12	14	15.8	16.0	-0.23	13.0	14.3	-1.30
Robbie Hummel	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	18.0	15.9	2.15	14.0	13.4	0.61
A.J. Price	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	10.7	16.0	-5.38	12.2	13.4	-1.20
Alexey Shved	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	10.7	16.0	-5.38	12.2	13.4	-1.20
Shabazz Muhammad	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-8	6	10.7	16.0	-5.38	12.2	13.4	-1.20
Gorgui Dieng	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-7	4	15.2	16.0	-0.81	12.1	13.6	-1.52
Corey Brewer	76	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-14	18	16.3	14.2	2.09	13.6	12.8	0.75
Dante Cunningham	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-1	-8	15.2	16.2	-1.00	13.4	13.4	-0.02
Nikola Pekovic	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-5	0	16.3	14.4	1.90	13.7	12.5	1.13
Kevin Martin	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	-2	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.15	13.7	12.3	1.40
Jose Juan Barea	40	41	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	6	-22	16.5	15.4	1.10	13.4	13.4	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	38	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.10	-18	8	-26	15.6	16.1	-0.51	13.4	13.4	0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	49	48	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.16	20	-10	30	13.9	12.9	0.98	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Nick Collison	31	29	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	14.1	13.1	1.06	16.0	15.8	0.18
Jeremy Lamb	34	32	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-4	18	13.9	13.2	0.73	16.1	15.8	0.37
Derek Fisher	31	30	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.24	10	0	10	14.1	13.1	0.96	16.2	15.7	0.52
Kevin Durant	91	90	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	1	8	13.5	12.7	0.81	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Kendrick Perkins	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	8	-6	13.0	13.7	-0.73	16.2	15.6	0.60
Andre Roberson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	14.0	13.4	0.61	18.0	15.9	2.15
Perry Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	14.0	13.4	0.61	18.0	15.9	2.15
Steven Adams	20	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	13	-16	12.9	13.5	-0.63	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Serge Ibaka	80	78	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	14	-18	13.1	14.5	-1.44	16.0	15.5	0.44
Russell Westbrook	66	65	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	16	-22	13.2	13.7	-0.51	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Thabo Sefolosha	49	48	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	18	-26	12.8	14.0	-1.22	16.3	15.5	0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	94.4%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.5%
GSW 93, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%