NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	6.7 [461]		MVP	Malik Allen (MIA): +27.0%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	3.6 [455]		LVP	Brian Grant (MIA): -20.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mike Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06	0.05	-0.05	0.06	31	52%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	23%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.08	0.05	13	57%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	15	51%	-0.03	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.06

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.13	0.00	9	89%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.01	18	67%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	15	42%	0.03	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	8	11%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	30.3	16.3	24.8	1.8	33.4	131.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.8%

MIA +4.8%

MIA +6.6%

ORL -8.1%

ORL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIA	NBA	ORL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	15.6	94.9	102.1	102.3
season	14.6	16.5		104.6	96.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		98.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	15.4	16.0	14.9	14.9
MIA	15.0	12.8	14.6	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-8	11	13.8	15.0	-1.18	12.5	14.8	-2.37
Don Reid	43	42	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-6	7	14.9	14.9	0.03	13.6	15.2	-1.54
Troy Hudson	43	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-7	9	14.3	15.3	-1.04	13.0	15.6	-2.59
Monty Williams	27	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-1	-3	15.0	14.8	0.13	12.3	15.3	-2.96
Jaren Jackson	26	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-6	7	13.2	15.5	-2.33	13.4	15.0	-1.53
Patrick Ewing	25	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	15.1	14.8	0.34	13.0	15.0	-2.01
Horace Grant	59	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.2	1.04	16.2	12.1	4.07
Tracy McGrady	76	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.0	1.19	14.8	13.8	0.96
Mike Miller	64	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.27	-7	2	-9	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.4	12.8	2.61
Pat Garrity	55	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	15.1	14.6	0.42	15.2	13.6	1.54
Darrell Armstrong	64	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.60	15.1	13.4	1.79

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	66	65	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-5	15	14.1	15.4	-1.23	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Malik Allen	29	28	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-11	27	12.8	15.2	-2.41	17.5	13.8	3.72
Alonzo Mourning	69	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-6	17	15.0	13.4	1.63	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Anthony Carter	37	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-5	15	13.1	15.4	-2.28	15.0	14.8	0.21
Eddie Jones	82	82	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	2	1	13.5	20.1	-6.65	14.6	16.0	-1.37
Rod Strickland	62	65	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	8	-11	15.2	13.2	2.01	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Kendall Gill	47	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	11	-17	16.3	12.8	3.50	14.9	14.8	0.14
Brian Grant	75	76	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	16	-27	15.3	11.7	3.66	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Vladimir Stepania	18	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	10	-15	13.8	14.7	-0.91	13.3	15.2	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
GSW 93, MIN 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 92, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	93.6%