NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	6.6 [466]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +8.8%
New Jersey Nets	97		Comeback	3.4 [512]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -22.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	76%	0.14	4	-0.12	16	94%	0.06
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	17	54%	-0.04	3	-0.10	16	69%	-0.05
Vonteego Cummings	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	18	28%	-0.09	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	4	90%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	14	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	14	79%	0.05
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	30.0	15.5	25.4	2.3	39.4	139.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +48.7%

GSW -1.2%

GSW -13.9%

NJN +13.0%

NJN +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	15.5	94.8	99.0	100.9
season	15.0	15.5		95.3	97.8
opponent	15.1	14.9		103.0	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	15.0	17.0	12.7	14.6
NJN	14.0	15.7	15.7	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	82	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.26	2	-7	9	14.5	15.6	-1.12	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Mookie Blaylock	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-2	-1	15.8	13.0	2.85	15.8	13.7	2.14
Adam Keefe	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-3	1	15.8	13.8	2.00	15.4	14.5	0.86
Vinny Del Negro	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.0	14.8	0.17
Bob Sura	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-2	-1	14.0	16.1	-2.07	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Vonteego Cummings	46	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	0	-5	13.8	15.4	-1.65	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Marc Jackson	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	1	-7	14.6	14.9	-0.32	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Larry Hughes	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	14.2	16.0	-1.77	14.9	14.7	0.19

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	58	57	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-8	21	14.4	15.6	-1.25	14.0	15.6	-1.66
Keith Van Horn	48	47	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-11	27	15.4	14.4	1.00	15.0	14.3	0.76
Stephen Jackson	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	15.8	12.8	2.96	15.4	12.9	2.55
Sherman Douglas	42	42	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	15.0	14.8	0.11	13.7	15.4	-1.69
Kenyon Martin	59	58	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	5	-5	15.1	14.6	0.54	14.6	14.8	-0.24
Vladimir Stepania	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	2	1	15.5	14.7	0.78	16.3	14.1	2.20
Stephon Marbury	73	72	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	5	-5	14.2	16.9	-2.67	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Kendall Gill	54	53	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	5	-5	14.9	14.9	0.00	15.3	13.8	1.48
Johnny Newman	15	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.7	1.16	15.3	14.5	0.79
Aaron Williams	47	47	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.14	-12	17	-29	13.8	15.9	-2.11	13.6	15.6	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	93.6%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.3%
MIL 90, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1	93.1%