NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	7.0 [400]		MVP	Vitaly Potapenko (BOS): +11.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	4.3 [560]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -29.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	11	52%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Chris Carr	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Herren	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	10	37%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3	-0.09	-0.15	0.06	20	52%	-0.14	5	-0.15	10	60%	-0.08
Antoine Walker	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3	-0.18	-0.12	-0.00	21	33%	-0.21	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.03	-0.05	17	58%	0.14	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.03
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	7	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	21	34%	-0.11	5	-0.14	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.7	14.8	29.1	1.7	49.0	147.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +7.2%

PHI +11.8%

PHI +20.4%

PHI +3.4%

PHI +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.8	15.3	15.5	82.2	87.6	100.9
season	15.1	15.7		99.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	13.9	15.7	11.8	13.8
PHI	18.5	14.9	13.7	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	31	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-4	6	13.4	14.0	-0.64	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Bryant Stith	53	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.33	8	-10	18	14.2	13.4	0.83	16.0	14.5	1.53
Tony Battie	37	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	4	-10	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.6	14.5	2.05
Mark Blount	7	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	3	-8	14.9	13.8	1.10	11.0	15.6	-4.57
Vitaly Potapenko	55	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.46	10	-12	22	13.6	14.1	-0.47	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Chris Carr	17	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	3	-8	13.2	14.0	-0.79	11.9	15.9	-3.93
Paul Pierce	88	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-6	10	13.6	15.2	-1.61	15.7	12.4	3.35
Antoine Walker	87	85	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	14.0	13.1	0.88	15.4	14.8	0.52
Eric Williams	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	9	-20	14.3	13.5	0.82	14.7	15.8	-1.15
Chris Herren	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	2	-6	13.9	13.8	0.09	15.5	14.7	0.76

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	56	59	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.47	9	-7	16	14.5	16.3	-1.78	12.8	15.3	-2.53
Allen Iverson	91	93	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-2	6	15.2	16.5	-1.29	14.1	10.7	3.35
George Lynch	76	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.50	0	2	-2	15.2	15.7	-0.48	13.9	13.7	0.13
Eric Snow	86	90	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.38	-3	5	-8	15.2	16.2	-1.01	13.8	14.0	-0.19
Toni Kukoc	29	32	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-4	10	14.0	15.9	-1.89	13.8	13.9	-0.07
Vernon Maxwell	13	13	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-3	8	15.9	15.2	0.73	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Theo Ratliff	55	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	1	0	16.6	13.6	2.94	14.6	12.9	1.68
Todd MacCulloch	19	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	14.6	15.5	-0.88	14.8	13.6	1.21
Tyrone Hill	60	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.29	-14	16	-30	16.0	14.2	1.78	13.6	14.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, OKC 101	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.82,0.96,0.96,0.86,0.85,1	92.7%
LAC 90, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.86,0.92,1	92.7%
GSW 92, NJN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.6%