NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	90		Excitement	6.5 [513]		MVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): +19.1%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	2.0 [731]		LVP	Jason Terry (DAL): -21.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.18	-0.06	0.02	29	65%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.07
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.08	4	-0.14	18	61%	-0.03
Ime Udoka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.08	-0.00	10	65%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.07	0.05	14	68%	0.23	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	71%	0.08	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	52%	-0.00	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	17	26%	-0.17	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	36.2	20.6	30.3	3.8	39.6	163.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -1.5%

DAL +30.2%

DAL +24.0%

SAS -0.0%

SAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DAL	NBA	SAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.5	98.9	110.0	106.4
season	16.4	15.6		106.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		107.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	14.1	18.8	13.3	15.2
DAL	14.4	15.3	15.5	22.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.5	15.2	0.29	13.5	17.4	-3.86
Drew Gooden	19	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	13.1	15.8	-2.70	15.3	16.9	-1.60
Tony Parker	78	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-16	23	15.2	15.7	-0.53	17.2	13.1	4.10
Ime Udoka	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	15.9	14.9	1.00	15.4	17.4	-1.91
Bruce Bowen	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-7	5	15.4	14.9	0.51	15.7	18.4	-2.69
George Hill	27	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-7	5	12.8	16.3	-3.45	20.1	15.2	4.89
Matt Bonner	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.3	16.0	-1.68	18.7	14.9	3.75
Roger Mason Jr.	35	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	4	-17	16.2	14.7	1.51	14.1	18.1	-3.99
Michael Finley	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	15.7	14.2	1.47	17.0	15.5	1.48
Tim Duncan	76	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	15.9	11.7	4.28	16.7	15.7	1.05

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	68	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	15.7	19.2	-3.49	15.7	13.8	1.91
Jason Kidd	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	16.5	17.1	-0.58	15.7	13.1	2.61
Ryan Hollins	34	34	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	1	7	18.1	15.7	2.46	15.4	15.1	0.27
Jason Terry	64	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-1	11	16.4	17.1	-0.74	14.5	17.0	-2.55
Brandon Bass	24	24	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-4	17	14.8	17.2	-2.45	15.5	15.1	0.35
Dirk Nowitzki	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	7	-5	16.6	16.2	0.42	14.9	16.9	-1.99
Antoine Wright	20	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	8	-7	18.3	16.1	2.26	14.0	15.6	-1.58
James Singleton	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	9	-9	7.0	16.7	-9.70	0.0	15.4	-15.41
Jose Juan Barea	44	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	15	-21	17.6	15.6	1.96	15.3	15.1	0.21
Erick Dampier	44	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	14	-19	16.5	16.7	-0.17	15.8	14.6	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 91, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.9,1	93.4%
MIA 95, GSW 107	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.2%
PHX 90, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.0%