NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	6.2 [537]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +21.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	97		Comeback	2.2 [171]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -17.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.04,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	22	56%	0.08	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	6	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.09	0.01	21	73%	0.34	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	58%	0.11	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Guillermo Diaz	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	60%	0.06	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	14	28%	-0.12	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.0	15.8	28.2	1.7	42.2	138.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +38.5%

LAC +1.7%

LAC +16.6%

PHX -9.2%

LAC +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.4	15.4	92.8	101.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.6		111.1	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.8	18.3	14.2	12.6	14.5
LAC	15.7	16.9	14.6	14.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	72	73	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-19	31	14.3	15.1	-0.86	15.9	13.5	2.42
Brian Skinner	32	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	3	-13	13.2	15.1	-1.89	15.3	15.4	-0.14
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	14.4	14.6	-0.21	15.5	15.0	0.48
Marcus Banks	15	14	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	8	-23	16.0	14.2	1.79	13.6	15.7	-2.02
Shawn Marion	88	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-7	7	14.2	17.4	-3.26	15.5	13.8	1.75
Raja Bell	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-8	9	15.1	10.8	4.29	15.4	15.0	0.42
Leandro Barbosa	48	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	10	-27	13.9	15.1	-1.17	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Boris Diaw	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	2	-11	15.1	12.6	2.52	14.9	16.9	-2.01

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	80	81	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.26	10	-3	13	14.8	17.9	-3.09	14.0	16.9	-2.86
Sam Cassell	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-8	23	15.0	16.1	-1.14	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Corey Maggette	76	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	14.9	17.3	-2.44	14.0	16.3	-2.35
Chris Kaman	78	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-5	17	15.4	15.1	0.38	14.8	13.2	1.56
Quinton Ross	48	47	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	14.4	16.3	-1.90	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Cuttino Mobley	51	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	9	-11	15.6	15.1	0.44	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Josh Powell	23	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	6	-5	16.4	15.0	1.35	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Al Thornton	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	10	-13	17.3	14.9	2.44	16.3	14.0	2.35
Brevin Knight	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	15	-23	16.5	14.8	1.75	15.4	14.1	1.33
Guillermo Diaz	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	11	-15	19.2	15.0	4.26	19.1	14.1	5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.98,1,1	93.2%
SAS 90, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.0%
ATL 99, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	92.7%