NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	8.3 [198]		MVP	Terrence Jones (HOU): +12.9%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	1.7 [1023]		LVP	Adreian Payne (MIN): -16.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gorgui Dieng	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.11,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.06	0.05	24	57%	0.07	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	5	-0.10	10	100%	0.08
Nikola Pekovic	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	18	40%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.05
Kevin Martin	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	18	48%	-0.02	6	-0.11	8	100%	0.03
Adreian Payne	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	15	32%	-0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.09	0.03	9	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	20	56%	0.19	3	-0.08	15	80%	0.03
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	48%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	11	45%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	12	34%	-0.02	5	-0.12	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	31.5	15.0	29.1	2.5	38.2	143.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +71.6%

MIN -18.3%

MIN -6.5%

HOU +5.4%

MIN -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	13.0	15.1	97.1	107.6	104.2
season	15.0	14.3		101.2	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		103.1	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.6	14.7	16.2	13.1	14.4
HOU	14.6	11.5	11.5	14.6	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	7	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-13	15	14.1	14.4	-0.28	13.9	12.9	0.94
Lorenzo Brown	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-11	11	14.0	14.4	-0.40	16.5	13.0	3.54
Gorgui Dieng	59	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-12	13	13.8	15.2	-1.34	13.0	13.0	-0.03
Kevin Martin	84	84	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-11	11	14.7	13.4	1.27	13.2	12.2	0.99
Ricky Rubio	86	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-11	11	13.6	18.1	-4.52	13.3	11.8	1.52
Zach LaVine	31	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	4	-19	14.9	14.2	0.67	12.4	13.3	-0.93
Chase Budinger	26	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	3	-17	15.9	13.9	2.02	13.0	13.0	-0.09
Andrew Wiggins	90	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	14.1	16.3	-2.18	12.8	14.3	-1.45
Nikola Pekovic	77	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-3	-5	15.0	12.7	2.25	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Adreian Payne	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	4	-19	14.6	14.1	0.54	13.6	12.1	1.48

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	85	85	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-2	15	13.1	12.7	0.34	14.0	16.2	-2.29
Donatas Motiejunas	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	1	9	13.6	12.1	1.51	15.0	13.4	1.62
Corey Brewer	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-1	13	12.7	13.4	-0.70	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Pablo Prigioni	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	13.1	13.0	0.11	14.2	14.5	-0.36
Josh Smith	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	6	-1	12.3	14.0	-1.62	14.2	14.6	-0.43
Jason Terry	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	8	-5	13.2	12.8	0.36	14.4	14.4	-0.05
Trevor Ariza	79	79	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	12	-13	13.1	12.9	0.14	14.8	13.2	1.66
Terrence Jones	70	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	13.5	12.0	1.50	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Joey Dorsey	14	14	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	10.1	13.5	-3.33	15.4	14.2	1.19
KJ McDaniels	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	16.5	13.0	3.54	14.0	14.4	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	93.6%
PHX 90, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,1,1	93.2%
ATL 99, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.99,1	93.1%