inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 81 Excitement5.8 [670] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +14.2%
San Antonio Spurs 88 Comeback1.6 [908] LVPStromile Swift (HOU): -9.7%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.020.09-0.021159%0.182-0.0500%0.00
Yao Ming0.070,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.080.030.031956%0.101-0.027100%0.02
Rick Brunson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00771%0.072-0.0600%0.00
Keith Bogans0.000,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.030.011055%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02540%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Rafer Alston-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.011454%0.103-0.1400%0.00
David Wesley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00425%-0.071-0.02425%-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.16,0.14,0.140.140.050.120.031260%0.161-0.021100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.060.00767%0.1400.0010%-0.03
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.00769%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.011040%0.0100.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.011540%-0.0000.00580%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00462%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.05-0.002047%0.095-0.11367%-0.03
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.13.531.216.825.22.731.4136.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +7.7%
SAS +6.5%
SAS +19.0%
SAS +13.2%
SAS +3.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game16.218.515.698.8104.8104.4
season16.116.399.9106.0
opponent15.616.199.4101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.218.719.312.616.2
SAS16.818.220.718.718.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley29300.02-0.520.540.05-1-6516.116.2-0.0718.818.30.54
Charles Hayes23-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-7731.515.815.7012.718.7-6.04
Ryan Bowen98-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-6520.615.64.9122.018.13.88
Rick Brunson4038-0.05-0.450.39-0.267-142115.716.7-0.9921.615.95.74
Stromile Swift3635-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-7718.014.83.1918.518.5-0.05
Yao Ming7071-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.23-1-6515.917.7-1.8419.612.57.04
Luther Head5455-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-5316.016.6-0.6417.919.7-1.84
Keith Bogans5256-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.12-125-1717.214.52.6517.620.2-2.64
Rafer Alston6366-0.620.12-0.73-0.27-125-1715.318.9-3.6017.223.1-5.81
Juwan Howard5558-0.640.14-0.79-0.26-136-1914.719.1-4.4217.620.4-2.80

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker55530.51-0.010.520.1612-51718.718.10.6416.914.82.10
Michael Finley45450.420.070.350.2852318.418.5-0.0916.216.10.14
Nazr Mohammed47460.390.110.290.2261520.116.53.5814.418.5-4.08
Tim Duncan68650.370.130.230.2543119.016.42.5316.415.40.97
Manu Ginobili61580.360.140.230.2543117.521.1-3.5815.418.1-2.75
Bruce Bowen47460.150.35-0.200.0634-120.615.84.7816.915.21.66
Robert Horry27260.140.35-0.210.0925-315.420.0-4.5916.915.81.08
Brent Barry16150.060.44-0.380.0025-315.219.3-4.0816.916.00.84
Fabricio Oberto550.060.44-0.380.0025-39.819.0-9.2413.016.4-3.39
Rasho Nesterovic20220.030.47-0.430.0307-720.317.92.3819.215.14.10
Beno Udrih2929-0.010.51-0.520.14-512-1718.118.7-0.6414.816.9-2.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.78,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.97,0.99,194.2%
ATL 92, MIA 990.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,194.0%
MIN 102, HOU 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.98,1,193.6%