NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	6.7 [453]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +18.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Comeback	1.8 [759]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -17.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Amundson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	19	53%	0.04	5	-0.16	7	57%	-0.02
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.14,-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	9	55%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.06	0.03	21	60%	0.19	0	0.00	16	87%	0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	45%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	16	25%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	31.2	16.5	25.4	2.7	37.0	141.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -6.0%

OKC +9.7%

OKC +18.2%

OKC +21.2%

OKC +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	OKC	NBA	PHX	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.5	15.3	95.8	100.0	106.0
season	14.4	15.0		113.5	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.6	15.2	17.2	14.7	15.6
OKC	13.8	15.5	13.5	15.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Clark	9	9	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-12	19	16.3	15.6	0.78	20.2	13.9	6.28
Lou Amundson	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-1	-3	15.1	15.9	-0.81	14.5	14.5	-0.02
Jarron Collins	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-3	1	16.9	15.2	1.63	14.4	14.6	-0.15
Goran Dragic	32	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-6	7	16.0	15.4	0.56	15.3	14.1	1.18
Jared Dudley	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.7	-0.24	13.1	15.7	-2.65
Leandro Barbosa	38	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-5	5	16.4	15.1	1.23	15.4	13.9	1.52
Jason Richardson	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	0	-5	15.1	16.4	-1.29	14.4	14.7	-0.28
Grant Hill	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-2	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.43	14.7	14.2	0.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-6	7	15.7	15.1	0.64	14.6	13.9	0.79
Steve Nash	63	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	1	-7	15.4	16.0	-0.56	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Channing Frye	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	7	-19	15.4	15.8	-0.36	13.8	15.2	-1.44

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	79	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.29	10	-5	15	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.7	15.5	0.20
Kevin Durant	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	14.6	14.3	0.24	15.9	14.6	1.33
Russell Westbrook	86	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	0	5	14.3	16.2	-1.86	15.2	19.1	-3.91
Thabo Sefolosha	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	1	3	15.2	12.8	2.36	15.6	15.7	-0.03
Nick Collison	33	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.38	-1	6	-7	14.8	14.4	0.39	15.7	15.6	0.05
Serge Ibaka	48	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-5	15	14.1	14.9	-0.77	15.9	15.3	0.58
James Harden	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	7	-9	13.7	15.0	-1.27	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Eric Maynor	39	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	6	-7	14.3	14.7	-0.33	16.1	15.3	0.83
Etan Thomas	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	15.2	14.4	0.79	14.6	15.8	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, BOS 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	93.8%
PHI 89, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.99,1	93.5%
SAS 90, DAL 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	93.4%