NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	4.4 [910]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks	84		Comeback	2.3 [239]		LVP	Josh Howard (DAL): -19.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.04	-0.03	13	63%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
David West	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	21	52%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.02	0.05	14	48%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	16	51%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	16	19%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.4	27.5	19.7	30.3	3.7	33.2	143.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +50.3%

NOH +6.9%

DAL -14.7%

NOH +7.6%

DAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.1	15.4	110.2	94.4	105.7
season	15.9	16.1		109.6	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		105.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.8	15.2	16.2	17.7	16.5
DAL	15.3	17.5	16.5	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	60	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.01	22	-9	31	16.1	17.2	-1.10	16.4	15.4	1.04
David West	68	69	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	16.5	16.4	0.02	16.4	14.9	1.52
Chris Paul	67	69	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	1	11	16.8	15.5	1.24	15.8	16.9	-1.06
Jannero Pargo	45	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-1	15	16.6	16.3	0.32	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Julian Wright	34	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	1	11	16.4	16.5	-0.14	16.4	15.9	0.48
Peja Stojakovic	64	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	16.6	16.1	0.47	15.6	17.3	-1.67
Bonzi Wells	22	22	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	2	9	15.2	16.9	-1.65	17.5	15.6	1.89
Morris Peterson	50	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.36	-7	20	-27	16.3	16.6	-0.29	16.1	16.0	0.05
Ryan Bowen	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	16.6	16.5	0.11	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Hilton Armstrong	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.19	-11	24	-35	17.4	16.1	1.25	15.4	16.3	-0.96

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	14.4	16.2	-1.78	17.8	16.4	1.41
Malik Allen	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	14.6	16.2	-1.64	16.6	16.5	0.11
Eddie Jones	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-16	19	15.0	16.3	-1.26	16.9	16.4	0.54
Brandon Bass	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	16.3	15.8	0.51	16.6	16.3	0.37
Jose Juan Barea	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-12	11	17.5	15.9	1.60	13.8	16.8	-3.01
Devean George	35	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-10	7	16.5	15.8	0.62	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Josh Howard	60	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	15.4	17.4	-1.93	16.7	16.0	0.68
Jerry Stackhouse	28	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-2	-9	17.0	15.7	1.29	16.4	16.5	-0.03
Jason Terry	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.1	15.8	0.35	16.7	15.1	1.57
Jason Kidd	54	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	15.9	16.4	-0.48	16.8	16.0	0.82
Erick Dampier	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	4	-21	16.4	15.8	0.57	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.04	-17	4	-21	16.1	16.0	0.09	16.8	14.4	2.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 109, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 94, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%