NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	4.9 [883]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +8.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	83		Comeback	1.9 [333]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -9.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	19	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	16	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	8	36%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	15	56%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	8	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.2	15.8	29.8	0.8	26.0	125.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.3%

CLE +15.4%

CLE +10.4%

CHA -9.0%

CLE +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.5	105.6	93.3	104.0
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	17.6	13.8	21.7	16.4
CHA	15.4	17.5	17.5	13.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	46	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-10	31	15.5	17.4	-1.90	16.4	15.5	0.88
LeBron James	74	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	15.9	18.8	-2.87	16.5	12.9	3.66
Eric Snow	42	42	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-3	17	19.1	14.0	5.03	16.1	15.8	0.33
Lucious Harris	28	27	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-3	17	18.4	15.5	2.88	17.4	15.3	2.10
Drew Gooden	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.17	3	8	-5	14.8	19.8	-5.06	15.9	15.9	0.02
Anderson Varejao	32	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	19.3	14.8	4.52	15.6	16.2	-0.58
Jeff McInnis	54	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	10	-9	14.9	18.8	-3.98	16.1	15.7	0.34
Ira Newble	49	49	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	13.9	19.5	-5.65	15.9	16.0	-0.19
Robert Traylor	31	29	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	17	-23	18.1	15.5	2.63	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Luke Jackson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	24.8	15.9	8.88	6.0	16.5	-10.54
Sasha Pavlovic	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	14	-17	18.8	15.9	2.87	12.9	16.5	-3.66
DeSagana Diop	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	14	-17	16.0	16.5	-0.47	16.8	15.8	1.00

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theron Smith	26	24	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-15	19	15.9	16.0	-0.08	17.0	16.2	0.86
Melvin Ely	41	42	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-17	23	15.2	16.6	-1.39	18.0	15.0	3.09
Jahidi White	26	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-16	21	14.6	16.5	-1.88	19.0	15.4	3.65
Jason Hart	36	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-16	21	14.5	16.9	-2.42	18.7	14.6	4.05
Kareem Rush	56	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-15	19	15.2	17.2	-2.02	18.1	13.3	4.75
Gerald Wallace	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	16.9	15.5	1.38	13.2	17.7	-4.55
Keith Bogans	34	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.05	-14	3	-17	16.9	15.3	1.57	13.1	18.3	-5.24
Brevin Knight	53	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	5	-21	16.9	14.5	2.42	14.6	18.7	-4.05
Jason Kapono	37	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-2	-7	15.3	16.4	-1.11	18.2	15.0	3.14
Emeka Okafor	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	5	-21	16.5	14.6	1.88	15.6	18.3	-2.73
Primoz Brezec	47	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.04	-18	7	-25	16.8	15.0	1.79	14.9	18.1	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAL 109, NJN 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
BOS 110, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%