NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	5.2 [766]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +4.1%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	2.2 [677]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Scott	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.04	12	69%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
George McCloud	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	19	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Kersey	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	21%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	-0.10	23	37%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	15	48%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	4	37%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.23	-0.02	-0.10	14	16%	-0.13	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	15	39%	-0.09	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	25.4	15.7	26.3	2.3	32.5	128.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +41.8%

LAL +5.1%

NJN -8.8%

LAL +14.6%

NJN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.6	113.5	87.5	104.4
season	15.3	15.4		105.8	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.7		106.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	14.0	13.6	14.4	14.0
NJN	14.2	14.8	17.7	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	54	56	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	8	9	14.1	13.9	0.21	16.8	14.8	1.97
Travis Knight	60	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	6	13	14.2	13.6	0.67	16.1	15.8	0.26
Nick Van Exel	64	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	15	-5	13.5	15.1	-1.64	15.3	17.4	-2.06
Elden Campbell	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	18	-11	13.6	14.7	-1.14	15.6	16.7	-1.05
Sean Rooks	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	7	11	14.4	13.8	0.52	17.3	15.4	1.95
Derek Fisher	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	10	5	15.1	13.5	1.64	17.4	15.3	2.06
Eddie Jones	63	63	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	19	-13	13.9	14.2	-0.32	15.5	16.9	-1.34
Corie Blount	31	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	18	-11	13.8	14.1	-0.24	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Byron Scott	47	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.20	12	13	-1	14.4	13.6	0.75	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Kobe Bryant	18	18	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	14	-3	13.0	14.2	-1.23	15.7	16.1	-0.41
George McCloud	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.06	3	22	-19	14.3	13.9	0.41	16.9	15.8	1.09

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yinka Dare	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-24	23	15.6	16.0	-0.41	12.7	14.1	-1.36
Jack Haley	18	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.22	-8	-17	9	17.4	15.7	1.71	14.0	14.0	-0.00
Kevin Edwards	27	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	-15	5	15.0	16.4	-1.34	12.6	14.6	-1.98
Xavier McDaniel	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-18	11	15.4	16.2	-0.87	14.4	13.8	0.58
Eric Montross	55	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-12	-1	16.7	15.1	1.53	14.3	13.7	0.63
Kendall Gill	60	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-21	17	15.5	16.9	-1.42	14.0	14.1	-0.09
Kerry Kittles	70	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-8	-9	15.6	17.2	-1.64	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Tony Massenburg	53	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.02	-10	-15	5	15.8	16.2	-0.38	13.8	14.2	-0.46
Joe Kleine	33	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-14	3	15.0	16.5	-1.52	13.9	14.1	-0.22
Sam Cassell	69	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-10	-5	16.4	15.0	1.34	14.6	12.6	1.98
Jim Jackson	62	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.32	-29	4	-33	17.0	14.1	2.87	14.3	13.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
NOH 97, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SAS 116, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%