inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 96 Excitement4.5 [921] MVPCharlie Villanueva (MIL): +11.8%
Toronto Raptors 85 Comeback1.8 [211] LVPChris Bosh (TOR): -13.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva0.120,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.02-0.012059%0.121-0.004100%0.02
Richard Jefferson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.010.031163%0.101-0.02580%0.00
Charlie Bell0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.01-0.041150%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Francisco Elson0.010,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.011100%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Ramon Sessions0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.04-0.00-0.05940%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01968%0.094-0.081100%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00440%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06-0.020.000.051058%0.014-0.076100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.00763%0.113-0.065100%0.04
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.020.061073%0.062-0.022100%0.01
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00-0.02743%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamario Moon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.010.02367%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Roko Leni Ukic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Solomon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.011129%-0.072-0.04250%-0.01
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.070.031647%-0.072-0.062100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.05-0.031549%0.037-0.16786%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.830.017.827.02.837.2141.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +45.2%
TOR -4.5%
MIL +7.8%
MIL +1.9%
TOR -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILTORNBAMILTORNBA
this game16.715.315.5105.595.5106.4
season15.015.1104.9105.0
opponent15.615.6108.0105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL17.215.615.918.116.7
TOR15.518.015.412.415.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva78770.65-0.140.790.2613-21517.015.21.7415.414.21.26
Ramon Sessions59580.58-0.080.660.1116-52116.816.60.1515.914.01.98
Richard Jefferson76740.290.210.090.2429-717.015.41.5914.618.3-3.62
Francisco Elson44430.280.220.060.0874315.517.9-2.4616.414.22.24
Charlie Bell58570.220.28-0.060.0465116.916.40.5214.916.0-1.11
Andrew Bogut32300.180.32-0.14-0.0274317.616.31.2915.015.4-0.39
Luke Ridnour64630.170.33-0.150.17011-1116.417.5-1.0815.015.9-0.94
Luc Mbah a Moute44430.120.38-0.250.0147-316.616.8-0.1715.015.5-0.46

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Solomon560.01-0.510.510.07-2-9717.015.21.8514.816.9-2.03
Jamario Moon4748-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-111115.914.51.3516.916.50.45
Roko Leni Ukic1212-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-7312.315.7-3.3815.217.0-1.80
Jose Calderon6162-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-131515.315.10.2216.916.30.66
Jason Kapono4345-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-7314.715.8-1.1317.416.11.25
Jermaine O'Neal5556-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-10915.115.6-0.5317.215.91.27
Andrea Bargnani6163-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.353-141714.417.2-2.8516.716.8-0.14
Joey Graham3131-0.36-0.14-0.230.07-154-1915.415.20.1516.117.1-1.00
Anthony Parker5960-0.42-0.08-0.330.05-165-2115.814.11.7015.918.2-2.28
Chris Bosh7172-0.540.04-0.57-0.01-187-2515.912.73.2517.015.61.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 109, NJN 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
TOR 94, NOK 770.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
CLE 82, DET 750.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.9%