NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	82		Excitement	3.9 [988]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (CLE): +5.2%
Detroit Pistons	75		Comeback	1.7 [211]		LVP	Aaron McKie (DET): -12.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	17	59%	0.10	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Bobby Phills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Lang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	4	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	73%	0.07	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Danny Ferry	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	20	30%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	70%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.10	7	82%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	12	47%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	69%	0.04	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	28.3	15.8	25.4	1.7	28.0	126.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.2%

DET -4.2%

CLE +12.1%

CLE +14.2%

CLE +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	19.4	15.0	15.6	97.6	90.4	104.4
season	17.8	17.1		102.1	107.6
opponent	16.2	16.1		102.0	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	20.2	18.2	16.7	23.5	19.4
DET	13.4	15.2	15.3	16.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	19.3	20.1	-0.78	15.1	15.0	0.05
Danny Ferry	80	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	19.4	19.5	-0.09	14.7	21.0	-6.25
Terrell Brandon	73	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	19.6	18.1	1.53	15.2	14.3	0.84
Tyrone Hill	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	19.4	19.8	-0.42	14.7	16.8	-2.13
Bob Sura	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	3	1	19.7	18.3	1.41	14.5	17.5	-3.04
Bobby Phills	28	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	3	1	18.2	20.0	-1.80	16.7	14.2	2.51
Vitaly Potapenko	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	2	3	19.7	19.3	0.36	17.8	14.3	3.49
Antonio Lang	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	20.1	19.3	0.78	13.3	15.3	-1.92

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	15.9	14.8	1.17	20.0	19.2	0.75
Don Reid	11	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-6	5	14.8	15.1	-0.27	21.7	19.0	2.69
Terry Mills	43	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-14	21	14.2	16.0	-1.84	19.8	18.9	0.91
Litterial Green	23	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-9	11	15.0	15.1	-0.13	20.9	18.8	2.08
Jerome Williams	29	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.27	4	-11	15	16.2	14.4	1.73	20.4	18.9	1.48
Michael Curry	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-7	7	15.3	14.9	0.43	20.7	18.5	2.22
Grant Hill	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	13.9	17.2	-3.32	18.4	21.5	-3.18
Theo Ratliff	35	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	4	-15	14.8	15.2	-0.38	18.4	20.1	-1.69
Otis Thorpe	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	4	-15	15.6	13.8	1.79	19.0	20.3	-1.36
Lindsey Hunter	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	15.5	13.9	1.55	18.9	20.7	-1.75
Aaron McKie	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	7	-21	15.0	15.1	-0.12	19.0	20.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAC 117, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
NYK 115, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.9%