NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	4.5 [932]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): +18.1%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	2.0 [394]		LVP	Omer Asik (HOU): -11.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.01	20	70%	0.18	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	6	100%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	68%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	14	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.05	13	61%	0.13	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Caron Butler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	10	77%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	10	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	20	50%	0.03	5	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.03	6	47%	-0.02	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	34.3	15.8	27.0	1.8	27.6	134.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +28.5%

LAC +18.0%

LAC +4.8%

LAC +7.0%

HOU -8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.4	125.8	117.2	104.1
season	15.6	14.2		109.0	107.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		105.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.2	14.6	16.8	19.2	16.6
HOU	15.1	13.7	16.7	12.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	39	38	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-18	44	15.7	17.3	-1.53	16.4	12.9	3.44
Willie Green	31	32	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-8	24	16.8	16.5	0.31	16.9	13.0	3.97
Blake Griffin	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-3	14	16.4	17.2	-0.83	14.9	13.2	1.67
Eric Bledsoe	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.30	3	5	-2	17.2	15.0	2.15	14.6	13.7	0.90
DeAndre Jordan	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-2	12	16.7	16.6	0.14	16.6	12.6	4.07
Grant Hill	33	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	9	-10	16.8	16.6	0.19	13.0	15.0	-2.02
Ronny Turiaf	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	9	-10	16.3	16.8	-0.45	13.1	14.9	-1.75
Matt Barnes	63	63	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.38	-11	19	-30	16.6	16.6	0.00	13.0	17.2	-4.18
Jamal Crawford	59	59	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	18	-28	16.8	16.4	0.40	12.9	16.9	-4.02
Lamar Odom	40	40	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	11	-14	16.6	16.6	-0.02	13.0	15.4	-2.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Anderson	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	9.7	14.5	-4.82	25.3	16.3	8.99
Patrick Beverley	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	9.7	14.5	-4.82	25.3	16.3	8.99
Cole Aldrich	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	9.7	14.5	-4.82	25.3	16.3	8.99
Donatas Motiejunas	5	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-12	16	10.6	14.5	-3.95	19.5	16.5	2.99
Toney Douglas	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	13.5	14.7	-1.14	17.7	16.2	1.56
Greg Smith	41	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-14	20	12.7	15.6	-2.91	17.4	16.0	1.46
Marcus Morris	50	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-9	10	13.1	15.8	-2.75	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Carlos Delfino	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	13.2	16.2	-3.00	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Jeremy Lin	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	4	-16	14.6	13.6	0.95	16.4	17.4	-1.05
James Harden	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	0	-8	14.6	13.6	1.01	16.1	18.2	-2.12
Patrick Patterson	29	29	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	10	-28	17.0	13.1	3.93	16.4	16.7	-0.27
Chandler Parsons	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	8	-24	15.6	11.9	3.71	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Omer Asik	47	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	10	-28	16.1	12.5	3.67	15.7	17.6	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, DET 75	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHX 103, ORL 89	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
DEN 122, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%