inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 115 Excitement4.3 [960] MVPKristaps Porzingis (NYK): +16.9%
Chicago Bulls 107 Comeback1.9 [169] LVPJimmy Butler (CHI): -7.5%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0.170,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.160.01-0.001676%0.223-0.05667%-0.01
Jose Calderon0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.110.080.030.00669%0.1100.00475%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.070.03-0.01-0.052253%0.143-0.0710%-0.02
Sasha Vujacic0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.022150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.020.04771%0.0500.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.03-0.031148%0.0200.001100%0.01
Jerian Grant0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.01580%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Arron Afflalo-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.001344%-0.001-0.001100%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01233%-0.011-0.022100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.120.120.340.010.221785%0.1200.00786%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00683%0.072-0.0100%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.11-0.010.051760%0.0400.001100%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.000.03467%0.0400.00786%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00558%0.0300.002100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.03-0.01-0.03750%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.01643%-0.022-0.0120%-0.03
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.001129%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.63.625.316.726.02.830.2128.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +43.2%
NYK +0.2%
NYK +24.9%
CHI -17.0%
CHI -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKCHINBANYKCHINBA
this game16.614.714.9123.7117.6105.1
season15.614.8103.5103.7
opponent14.914.8105.1106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK17.416.714.617.816.6
CHI13.916.814.813.514.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez61600.57-0.070.640.1913-51817.514.82.7315.413.32.06
Kristaps Porzingis58580.53-0.030.560.1812-41615.518.4-2.8415.812.73.16
Jose Calderon70700.52-0.020.540.1712-41616.716.40.2214.714.8-0.10
Sasha Vujacic23240.450.050.410.0414-62017.316.40.8816.514.02.53
Carmelo Anthony74730.380.120.250.2062416.915.51.4214.316.3-1.99
Langston Galloway19180.120.38-0.250.0726-415.516.9-1.4216.314.31.99
Arron Afflalo70670.050.45-0.410.22-614-2016.417.3-0.8814.016.5-2.53
Jerian Grant33310.020.48-0.460.17-513-1818.415.62.8213.715.2-1.47
Derrick Williams31290.000.50-0.490.0008-816.016.9-0.9514.314.9-0.54
Kevin Seraphin2625-0.140.64-0.790.09-816-2415.117.2-2.1212.015.7-3.64

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis32340.06-0.560.61-0.219-172613.715.2-1.5817.815.91.83
Justin Holiday23260.01-0.510.52-0.083-111412.715.4-2.7218.315.92.37
Doug McDermott3941-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-8813.815.3-1.5115.817.2-1.38
Aaron Brooks3335-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-4014.015.1-1.0215.117.5-2.39
Nikola Mirotic6567-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-91014.116.1-2.0116.317.3-1.03
Taj Gibson4041-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-124-1614.914.50.4315.717.3-1.56
Derrick Rose5858-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.30-4-4015.114.01.0217.515.12.39
Mike Dunleavy5252-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-80-815.313.81.5117.215.81.38
Pau Gasol4544-0.510.01-0.51-0.10-146-2016.013.42.6517.016.30.67
Jimmy Butler6867-0.510.01-0.52-0.19-113-1415.412.72.7215.918.3-2.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 100, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,095.4%
PHX 127, MEM 1130.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
CHH 102, MIA 760.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%