NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	115		Excitement	4.3 [960]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (NYK): +16.9%
Chicago Bulls	107		Comeback	1.9 [169]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): -7.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.01	-0.00	16	76%	0.22	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	-0.01	-0.05	22	53%	0.14	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	2	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	13	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.34	0.01	0.22	17	85%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.05	17	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	11	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.6	25.3	16.7	26.0	2.8	30.2	128.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.2%

NYK +0.2%

NYK +24.9%

CHI -17.0%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	14.9	123.7	117.6	105.1
season	15.6	14.8		103.5	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.4	16.7	14.6	17.8	16.6
CHI	13.9	16.8	14.8	13.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	17.5	14.8	2.73	15.4	13.3	2.06
Kristaps Porzingis	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-4	16	15.5	18.4	-2.84	15.8	12.7	3.16
Jose Calderon	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	16.7	16.4	0.22	14.7	14.8	-0.10
Sasha Vujacic	23	24	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-6	20	17.3	16.4	0.88	16.5	14.0	2.53
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	16.9	15.5	1.42	14.3	16.3	-1.99
Langston Galloway	19	18	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.07	2	6	-4	15.5	16.9	-1.42	16.3	14.3	1.99
Arron Afflalo	70	67	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.22	-6	14	-20	16.4	17.3	-0.88	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Jerian Grant	33	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	13	-18	18.4	15.6	2.82	13.7	15.2	-1.47
Derrick Williams	31	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	16.0	16.9	-0.95	14.3	14.9	-0.54
Kevin Seraphin	26	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	16	-24	15.1	17.2	-2.12	12.0	15.7	-3.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	32	34	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-17	26	13.7	15.2	-1.58	17.8	15.9	1.83
Justin Holiday	23	26	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-11	14	12.7	15.4	-2.72	18.3	15.9	2.37
Doug McDermott	39	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	13.8	15.3	-1.51	15.8	17.2	-1.38
Aaron Brooks	33	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-4	0	14.0	15.1	-1.02	15.1	17.5	-2.39
Nikola Mirotic	65	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	14.1	16.1	-2.01	16.3	17.3	-1.03
Taj Gibson	40	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.5	0.43	15.7	17.3	-1.56
Derrick Rose	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	15.1	14.0	1.02	17.5	15.1	2.39
Mike Dunleavy	52	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.3	13.8	1.51	17.2	15.8	1.38
Pau Gasol	45	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	6	-20	16.0	13.4	2.65	17.0	16.3	0.67
Jimmy Butler	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	3	-14	15.4	12.7	2.72	15.9	18.3	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHX 127, MEM 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHH 102, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%