inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 102 Excitement3.8 [1014] MVPDavid Wesley (CHH): +14.0%
Miami Heat 76 Comeback1.4 [464] LVPTim Hardaway (MIA): -10.6%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.02-0.00882%0.1400.00683%0.01
Baron Davis0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.03-0.041549%0.061-0.005100%0.02
Jamal Mashburn0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.011465%0.125-0.076100%0.02
P.J. Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.01-0.04660%0.053-0.043100%0.02
Hersey Hawkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02464%0.0000.003100%0.00
Otis Thorpe0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Scott Burrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eddie Robinson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.02667%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Coleman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02847%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03140%-0.0300.00825%-0.03
Elden Campbell-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.02-0.04730%-0.092-0.01667%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01-0.061757%0.113-0.033100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.01-0.01947%0.0100.001100%0.00
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06736%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.031050%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Anthony Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.03657%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02945%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00928%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01450%0.003-0.08250%-0.01
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01333%-0.024-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.83.432.420.424.52.631.2144.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +17.5%
CHH +9.8%
CHH +7.0%
CHH +14.1%
CHH +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHHMIANBACHHMIANBA
this game16.415.815.5114.684.4100.9
season15.816.399.798.4
opponent16.115.696.997.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHH14.716.116.918.116.4
MIA13.518.117.414.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wesley56570.57-0.070.65-0.192602616.116.9-0.7717.712.55.22
P.J. Brown71720.53-0.030.57-0.202512415.719.1-3.4115.218.3-3.18
Jamal Mashburn72750.470.030.45-0.3829-33215.719.4-3.7315.616.7-1.05
Baron Davis61630.470.030.44-0.03179815.917.4-1.4615.217.3-2.10
Elden Campbell40400.360.140.21-0.031313017.015.91.1517.514.43.08
Derrick Coleman42430.170.33-0.15-0.33179816.116.6-0.4716.115.50.63
Scott Burrell14120.030.47-0.450.06-127-2818.116.11.9917.715.52.17
Hersey Hawkins22220.010.49-0.47-0.19719-1218.115.82.2614.616.2-1.53
Otis Thorpe870.000.50-0.500.09-329-3221.015.95.0614.015.9-1.94
Eldridge Recasner980.000.50-0.500.03-127-2818.816.12.6514.415.9-1.55
Eddie Robinson3839-0.060.56-0.62-0.23620-1416.116.6-0.4614.816.5-1.71
Jamaal Magloire1212-0.060.56-0.630.08-531-3618.116.11.9513.416.2-2.74

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Ceballos12120.00-0.500.500.000-262615.015.9-0.9118.616.12.53
A.C. Green1313-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-242215.215.9-0.7417.516.21.25
Eddie House2425-0.12-0.380.260.17-10-16614.916.1-1.1918.015.72.29
Bruce Bowen3231-0.14-0.360.210.30-15-11-414.916.3-1.3217.016.10.93
Dan Majerle5353-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-201415.815.80.0515.717.4-1.77
Anthony Carter5046-0.19-0.310.110.28-16-10-616.415.01.3316.516.30.22
Brian Grant4947-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-12-216.614.81.8116.816.00.83
Tim Hardaway3738-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-17815.116.2-1.1115.217.3-2.11
Eddie Jones6564-0.35-0.15-0.210.14-17-9-815.516.5-1.0116.416.5-0.12
Anthony Mason6868-0.47-0.03-0.440.18-22-4-1816.015.10.9215.918.0-2.10
Alonzo Mourning4748-0.500.00-0.500.06-19-7-1216.315.30.9816.316.5-0.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 116, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
GSW 125, NYK 1110.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
BOS 105, MEM 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%