NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	127		Excitement	4.2 [948]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +20.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	113		Comeback	1.6 [1132]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -13.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.03	0.04	13	82%	0.25	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.04	13	69%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.22	0.01	0.15	22	72%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	6	81%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.09	12	70%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	10	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.5	16.6	23.1	1.8	28.3	124.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +20.5%

PHX +10.6%

MEM -6.8%

PHX +22.6%

PHX +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.4	129.6	116.5	105.7
season	13.8	14.9		111.1	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.6		109.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	13.1	16.1	16.3	14.7
MEM	14.5	17.7	13.3	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	67	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	2	10	15.1	13.8	1.29	15.6	13.5	2.03
Raja Bell	77	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.18	24	-10	34	13.9	17.5	-3.59	15.4	13.0	2.38
Grant Hill	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	-11	36	13.5	16.7	-3.25	15.9	13.1	2.81
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	4	6	14.8	14.1	0.70	14.7	15.5	-0.85
Leandro Barbosa	73	72	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	9	-4	14.8	14.3	0.45	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Boris Diaw	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	12	-10	15.6	13.4	2.18	15.6	13.9	1.75
Brian Skinner	36	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	13	-12	14.4	14.8	-0.33	12.8	16.2	-3.45
Gordan Giricek	44	45	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	23	-32	15.5	13.9	1.62	13.6	16.0	-2.36

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	48	47	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-22	30	12.6	17.1	-4.56	16.6	12.9	3.65
Casey Jacobsen	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-12	10	9.5	15.0	-5.50	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Jason Collins	30	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-14	14	15.3	14.7	0.55	14.0	14.9	-0.88
Darko Milicic	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	0	-14	16.9	13.6	3.24	12.8	15.8	-3.04
Juan Carlos Navarro	66	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-8	2	14.2	16.4	-2.16	15.1	13.8	1.29
Mike Miller	59	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-6	-2	15.9	13.2	2.71	13.8	16.1	-2.38
Rudy Gay	88	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-2	-10	14.5	18.2	-3.68	14.7	13.9	0.84
Hakim Warrick	83	84	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	2	-18	15.1	13.4	1.70	15.0	12.8	2.18
Mike Conley	72	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.02	-20	6	-26	15.3	13.8	1.52	14.6	14.9	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 105, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 105, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%