NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	5.3 [760]		MVP	Brook Lopez (BKN): +24.6%
Brooklyn Nets	91		Comeback	1.9 [359]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): -13.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.08	-0.02	12	69%	0.21	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	68%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	16	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.04	-0.00	19	69%	0.25	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	56%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Markel Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	45%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	14	21%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.2	25.6	16.3	26.1	1.8	26.5	121.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +69.1%

BKN -18.7%

BKN -11.0%

BOS +10.1%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.1	112.2	92.9	104.2
season	14.3	15.3		103.1	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	13.3	15.9	15.2	14.8
BKN	14.4	16.1	14.1	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	0	19	14.9	14.6	0.25	14.6	14.2	0.36
Phil Pressey	37	36	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	5	9	14.5	15.1	-0.61	15.3	14.1	1.19
Kelly Olynyk	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	6	7	14.1	15.2	-1.12	15.1	14.3	0.78
Jae Crowder	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	1	17	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.5	16.4	-2.83
Jonas Jerebko	49	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	15	-11	14.7	15.0	-0.24	15.3	13.8	1.48
Avery Bradley	65	66	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	11	-3	15.2	14.2	0.99	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Brandon Bass	51	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	9	1	15.3	14.3	0.95	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Marcus Smart	49	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	18	-17	13.7	16.0	-2.29	15.6	13.6	2.02
Tyler Zeller	60	62	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.15	8	11	-3	15.1	14.4	0.72	14.4	14.9	-0.53

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Morris	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-15	11	11.3	14.7	-3.32	12.5	14.9	-2.44
Cory Jefferson	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-17	15	11.5	15.0	-3.47	14.4	14.9	-0.56
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-15	11	14.5	14.6	-0.15	14.5	15.2	-0.71
Markel Brown	26	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-10	1	14.5	14.6	-0.07	13.7	15.2	-1.56
Brook Lopez	73	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-17	15	13.9	16.3	-2.37	15.2	14.0	1.22
Deron Williams	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-11	3	13.9	16.5	-2.59	15.3	13.7	1.56
Mason Plumlee	25	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-2	-15	16.3	13.9	2.37	14.0	15.2	-1.22
Jarrett Jack	36	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-6	-7	15.7	13.9	1.90	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	76	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-8	-3	14.8	13.7	1.06	14.9	14.5	0.39
Joe Johnson	75	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-11	3	14.9	13.4	1.52	15.4	13.2	2.16
Alan Anderson	36	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-2	-15	14.9	14.3	0.62	14.5	15.0	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
NOH 97, DAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CLE 94, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%