NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	5.7 [656]		MVP	Horace Grant (LAL): +7.0%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.5 [1049]		LVP	Marc Jackson (GSW): -16.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.04	17	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	15	93%	0.06
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	60%	0.05	3	-0.07	11	55%	-0.07
Mark Madsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	60%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	15	74%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	6	40%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	0%	-0.03
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	23	40%	-0.14	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Bob Sura	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	13	31%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.20	-0.01	-0.03	15	19%	-0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	29.2	14.7	29.1	1.8	32.4	133.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.5%

LAL +13.6%

GSW -5.1%

GSW -1.2%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.5	101.0	88.5	100.9
season	15.6	15.0		106.8	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.2		104.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.8	14.2	16.0	16.0	15.0
GSW	13.9	15.8	16.7	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	76	76	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	14.8	15.7	-0.97	15.5	13.2	2.24
Shaquille O'Neal	85	84	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	1	10	15.0	14.7	0.28	15.6	11.1	4.50
Robert Horry	34	35	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-1	14	14.3	15.4	-1.11	17.7	13.5	4.19
Rick Fox	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	5	2	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.2	17.0	-2.84
Horace Grant	69	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	12	-12	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Kobe Bryant	74	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	10	-8	14.6	16.2	-1.56	14.4	17.0	-2.63
Isaiah Rider	18	18	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	6	0	14.9	15.0	-0.11	17.0	14.6	2.44
Mike Penberthy	28	28	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	11	-10	16.5	14.4	2.10	15.1	15.0	0.07
Devean George	14	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	8	-4	15.2	14.9	0.28	12.8	15.4	-2.62
Tyronn Lue	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	12	-12	0.0	15.0	-14.98	4.0	15.1	-11.14
Mark Madsen	13	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	11	-10	14.7	15.0	-0.33	12.1	15.6	-3.42

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	9	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-10	8	13.7	15.2	-1.49	12.6	15.2	-2.67
Erick Dampier	26	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-12	12	15.3	14.9	0.45	15.5	14.7	0.79
Vonteego Cummings	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-10	8	14.0	15.4	-1.41	15.3	14.8	0.47
Corie Blount	41	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	15.7	14.5	1.20	15.5	14.6	0.94
Adonal Foyle	48	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	16.3	13.7	2.54	15.4	14.6	0.75
Chris Porter	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-8	4	13.5	15.7	-2.20	16.4	14.3	2.10
Bob Sura	73	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-6	0	15.7	12.8	2.94	15.0	14.9	0.08
Marc Jackson	55	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	13.7	16.7	-2.99	14.0	16.4	-2.32
Antawn Jamison	84	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	0	-12	15.3	13.3	1.93	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Mookie Blaylock	86	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.11	-17	5	-22	14.9	16.4	-1.54	14.6	17.9	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, BKN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 96, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
SAS 92, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.8%