NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	5.1 [787]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +11.5%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	1.6 [770]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -11.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	10	75%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	1	67%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	81%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	39%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Karl Malone	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	17	53%	-0.08	2	-0.03	17	76%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	11	58%	0.07	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	0.07	23	62%	0.06	4	-0.11	12	75%	-0.02
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.02	-0.02	15	39%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	26.1	14.8	30.4	2.0	34.0	134.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +19.8%

UTA +3.3%

UTA +9.3%

UTA +12.0%

UTA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.2	109.1	98.9	101.7
season	16.3	14.7		104.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.8	17.2	15.0	16.0	16.2
BOS	16.7	19.6	15.0	16.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	76	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-5	20	16.4	14.5	1.93	17.5	12.2	5.31
Greg Ostertag	42	42	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-5	20	16.5	15.8	0.68	17.8	15.8	1.96
Jacque Vaughn	20	19	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	-6	22	19.7	15.1	4.57	20.8	15.6	5.17
John Stockton	47	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	3	4	14.4	18.1	-3.70	16.3	17.2	-0.93
Karl Malone	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	5	0	15.6	18.2	-2.60	16.3	18.6	-2.35
Quincy Lewis	27	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	4	2	17.5	15.6	1.94	17.4	16.4	0.96
Howard Eisley	55	54	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	14	-18	17.4	14.1	3.33	15.9	18.1	-2.21
Jeff Hornacek	54	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	9	-8	15.1	17.9	-2.79	16.5	17.1	-0.55
Olden Polynice	46	45	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	15	-20	15.8	16.5	-0.68	15.8	17.8	-1.96
Pete Chilcutt	4	4	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	16	-22	11.7	16.4	-4.63	6.0	17.3	-11.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	4	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-5	0	23.7	16.4	7.34	21.8	15.8	5.97
Tony Battie	42	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-11	12	15.3	18.1	-2.83	15.9	16.4	-0.56
Dana Barros	22	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-7	4	16.0	17.0	-1.00	17.0	15.9	1.10
Eric Williams	52	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	15.8	18.2	-2.38	16.0	16.4	-0.32
Kenny Anderson	65	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Pervis Ellison	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	1	-12	18.1	15.3	2.83	16.4	15.9	0.56
Calbert Cheaney	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	17.3	15.9	1.37	16.7	15.4	1.37
Antoine Walker	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	16.6	18.0	-1.38	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Adrian Griffin	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	-3	-4	16.8	16.5	0.29	15.6	19.9	-4.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.34,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 119, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 104, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
LAL 97, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%