NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	119		Excitement	7.4 [379]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +19.3%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	2.1 [298]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	14	70%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	15	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	24	59%	0.09	3	-0.10	15	73%	-0.03
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	21	60%	0.11	7	-0.24	3	67%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	14	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	18	45%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	24	40%	-0.10	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	14	34%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.6	38.3	18.6	25.3	4.2	30.8	147.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +76.9%

DAL -15.8%

DAL -6.5%

DAL -3.0%

DAL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	12.7	15.8	15.5	116.7	102.0	104.0
season	13.5	14.9		112.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		103.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	10.7	12.6	12.1	15.7	12.7
DAL	17.0	16.2	15.1	15.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.03	22	-5	27	13.0	11.5	1.45	16.3	13.6	2.65
Amar'e Stoudemire	100	97	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-4	25	12.5	21.0	-8.47	15.7	19.7	-3.93
Quentin Richardson	90	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	0	17	12.7	12.9	-0.25	15.8	16.1	-0.27
Jim Jackson	87	86	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	0	17	13.1	10.4	2.69	15.8	16.4	-0.67
Steve Nash	90	89	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	4	9	12.4	15.1	-2.71	16.0	14.7	1.26
Leandro Barbosa	35	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	13	-9	12.5	12.8	-0.36	16.6	15.5	1.08
Steven Hunter	2	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	21	-25	21.0	12.5	8.47	19.7	15.7	3.93
Walter McCarty	22	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	22	-27	12.0	12.9	-0.95	12.9	16.6	-3.79

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	11	11	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-21	25	11.8	16.3	-4.53	11.5	12.8	-1.29
Devin Harris	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-16	15	10.3	16.0	-5.69	12.3	12.7	-0.37
Shawn Bradley	4	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-16	15	11.7	16.0	-4.27	12.4	12.7	-0.31
Marquis Daniels	40	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	-11	5	15.6	16.0	-0.46	12.5	12.9	-0.38
Alan Henderson	27	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-15	13	18.1	15.0	3.10	10.3	13.5	-3.21
Josh Howard	62	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-7	-3	16.1	15.4	0.65	11.7	14.3	-2.64
Jerry Stackhouse	65	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	-5	-7	15.5	16.4	-0.89	13.3	11.5	1.80
Dirk Nowitzki	87	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-7	-3	15.9	15.8	0.00	13.1	10.2	2.88
Erick Dampier	25	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-5	-7	15.8	15.9	-0.07	13.6	12.4	1.23
Michael Finley	92	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	0	-17	15.8	15.9	-0.03	12.9	10.7	2.23
Jason Terry	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.04	-18	1	-19	16.2	13.7	2.50	13.1	10.8	2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 81, ORL 71	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.1,0.01,0,0	92.6%
VAN 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.03,0.07,0,0,0	92.5%
MIA 104, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0	92.4%