inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 81 Excitement6.8 [412] MVPDanny Ferry (CLE): +13.0%
Orlando Magic 71 Comeback1.8 [590] LVPDarrell Armstrong (ORL): -25.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.04-0.02972%0.1310.0000%0.00
Wesley Person0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.07-0.011242%0.0700.0000%0.00
Scott Brooks-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.001145%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.011138%-0.033-0.094100%0.02
Cedric Henderson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.040.00520%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.010.021550%-0.016-0.14475%0.01
Derek Anderson-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.070.00846%-0.111-0.041275%-0.02
Brevin Knight-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.06-0.02833%-0.043-0.122100%0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.011259%0.092-0.04560%0.00
Brian Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01-0.011257%0.042-0.044100%0.03
Rony Seikaly0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00660%-0.012-0.033100%0.01
Mark Price0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.011146%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.04-0.00340%-0.071-0.02450%-0.05
Gerald Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.05-0.03936%-0.002-0.11450%0.00
Derek Harper0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.00911%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Dan Schayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.060.00425%-0.034-0.1400%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.18-0.09-0.02714%-0.115-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.527.415.427.52.529.3126.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +20.2%
ORL -4.2%
CLE +28.4%
CLE +6.1%
ORL -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEORLNBACLEORLNBA
this game15.616.915.692.079.8102.5
season15.416.799.4100.3
opponent15.616.0101.497.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.715.615.014.515.6
ORL17.416.416.217.616.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brevin Knight67680.62-0.120.740.1516-62215.117.2-2.0917.814.03.72
Shawn Kemp74750.55-0.050.590.2891815.715.40.2616.618.6-2.00
Danny Ferry68690.50-0.000.500.1512-21415.516.2-0.7817.315.31.98
Wesley Person74740.460.040.420.3155015.814.61.1916.220.3-4.14
Derek Anderson52530.320.180.140.0982615.116.4-1.3016.617.3-0.75
Zydrunas Ilgauskas40420.200.30-0.100.0555015.715.60.1016.817.0-0.24
Vitaly Potapenko30290.010.49-0.480.04-111-1216.415.21.1917.316.70.63
Scott Brooks22-0.070.57-0.640.02-313-1623.515.58.0317.516.90.63
Cedric Henderson3333-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-111-1216.115.40.7116.717.0-0.35

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rony Seikaly3937-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-9816.517.2-0.7615.515.8-0.32
Derek Harper3837-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-9816.117.5-1.3216.115.30.84
Mark Price4948-0.21-0.290.09-0.12-3-7416.018.0-2.0716.115.11.05
Gerald Wilkins4040-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.09-7-3-418.016.02.0715.116.1-1.05
Dan Schayes3231-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.08-9-1-817.916.31.6416.415.21.19
Horace Grant6060-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.10-9-1-816.218.3-2.1115.515.9-0.41
Bo Outlaw7573-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.23-5-5016.717.6-0.9015.814.81.02
Brian Evans6163-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.21-6-4-217.515.61.8215.316.5-1.22
Darrell Armstrong5151-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.13-9-1-817.516.11.3215.316.1-0.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.1,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 99, PHI 910.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,092.7%
HOU 90, SEA 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.06,0.07,0,0,092.7%
PHX 119, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.05,0.01,0,0,092.6%