NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.2 [553]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +16.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.9 [183]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -26.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.03	-0.02	21	67%	0.28	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	20	57%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	16	44%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	73%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	10	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05
John Salmons	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	24	39%	-0.14	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	31.0	15.8	26.2	2.3	26.3	129.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.7%

PHX +2.7%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +5.4%

PHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	PHI	NBA	PHX	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.5	110.0	102.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		101.1	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.9		99.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	15.9	15.1	17.7	15.5
PHI	17.7	17.6	15.5	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	72	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.24	13	-5	18	15.6	15.3	0.25	16.8	15.9	0.96
Stephon Marbury	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-3	14	15.4	17.1	-1.75	16.7	16.3	0.40
Anfernee Hardaway	61	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	16.7	13.1	3.59	16.7	16.5	0.27
Shawn Marion	86	84	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	15.5	17.0	-1.53	16.3	22.6	-6.30
Joe Johnson	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	3	2	14.3	16.6	-2.32	17.2	16.2	1.00
Scott Williams	41	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	3	2	14.4	16.5	-2.05	16.1	17.1	-1.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	9	-10	17.0	13.7	3.29	17.4	15.6	1.83
Jake Tsakalidis	16	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	9	-10	13.6	15.9	-2.32	14.8	17.1	-2.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	18	18	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-10	12	14.4	17.2	-2.84	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Art Long	18	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	13.3	17.5	-4.16	15.6	15.5	0.10
Derrick Coleman	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-6	4	16.5	16.7	-0.18	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Greg Buckner	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-11	14	16.8	16.4	0.41	16.8	13.1	3.77
John Salmons	48	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	0	-8	15.9	17.5	-1.60	13.4	17.8	-4.41
Todd MacCulloch	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-4	0	17.6	15.5	2.05	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Keith Van Horn	58	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	17.7	14.7	2.93	16.2	14.2	1.99
Allen Iverson	89	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	16.7	0.0	16.65	15.5	0.0	15.53
Eric Snow	72	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	17.0	15.1	1.97	15.8	14.1	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.0%
IND 87, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.9%
LAL 98, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%